{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "0924fcc7-1a31-43b1-8093-6476dc61d480",
    "symbol": "E1SE34",
    "name": "Eversource Energy",
    "exchange": "SAO",
    "country": "BR",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^BVSP",
    "stage": 3,
    "stage_name": "Distribution",
    "phase": "3a",
    "phase_label": "Stage 3A \u00b7 Churning",
    "transition": "stage_3_churning",
    "transition_label": "Stage 3 range intact",
    "confidence": 54.9,
    "architecture_regime": "rotation_up",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Rotation Up",
    "architecture_modifier": "Value reclamation",
    "architecture_gate": "mixed",
    "architecture_direction": 38.786,
    "architecture_energy": 77.204,
    "architecture_maturity": 12.629,
    "architecture_confidence": 58.28,
    "architecture_tenure": "Developing",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The Activity Line structure is rotating upward.",
        "body": "Fast Activity is improving relative to Slow Activity and price acceptance is strengthening. This is earlier than full positive Trend confirmation and remains a developing repair."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 33.13,
        "rotation_up": 70.93,
        "upward_expansion": 64.52,
        "deceleration": 26.7,
        "rotation_down": 16.06,
        "downward_expansion": 27.52
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        189.543997,
        187.163635,
        182.069702,
        181.617455
      ],
      "activity_state": "Moderate",
      "activity_direction": "Expanding",
      "rotation_direction": "Improving",
      "price_acceptance": 0.5
    },
    "latest_close": 188.479996,
    "trend_reference": 182.48206,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.032869,
    "trend_direction": "Weakening",
    "fair_value": 163.056892,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.155916,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": 0.401572,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Improving",
    "price_momentum": -0.004847,
    "excess_performance": 0.052202,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.032869,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.004638,
        "read": "Falling"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.155916,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.114288,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.004016,
        "read": "Leading"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.197474,
        "read": "Improving"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.004847,
        "read": "Negative"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 1.0,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 0,
      "relative_activity": 0.0,
      "balance": 1.0,
      "dry_up": 0.06993,
      "accumulation_observations": 0,
      "distribution_observations": 0
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.012647,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.189609,
      "from_high_reference": -0.027451,
      "from_low_reference": 0.121025
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 182.48206,
      "fair_value_reference": 163.056892,
      "structural_low": 168.131897,
      "invalidation": "A decisive breakout above range resistance with renewed RS leadership invalidates the distribution reading; a range-low break confirms deterioration."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 9,
        "median_return": 0.006926,
        "positive_rate": 0.555556,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.555556,
        "median_excess_return": 0.002645,
        "regime_survival": 0.444444,
        "best_return": 0.057028,
        "worst_return": -0.127093,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 5,
        "median_return": 0.014905,
        "positive_rate": 0.6,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.6,
        "median_excess_return": 0.073255,
        "regime_survival": 0.2,
        "best_return": 0.098754,
        "worst_return": -0.047244,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 4,
        "median_return": 0.047943,
        "positive_rate": 0.75,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.75,
        "median_excess_return": 0.042137,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.087631,
        "worst_return": -0.038877,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 3,
        "median_return": 0.056693,
        "positive_rate": 1.0,
        "directional_follow_through": 1.0,
        "median_excess_return": 0.110372,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.31573,
        "worst_return": 0.011193,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
    "ledger": [
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        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2024-08-30",
        "end": "2024-11-22",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": 0.016581,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2024-11-29",
        "end": "2024-12-06",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.074518,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
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        "end": "2025-01-10",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.008081,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
        "color": "orange",
        "start": "2025-01-17",
        "end": "2025-02-28",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.072869,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2025-03-07",
        "end": "2025-03-21",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.00672,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2025-03-28",
        "end": "2025-04-04",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.018429,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2025-04-11",
        "end": "2025-06-06",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.037301,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
        "color": "teal",
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        "end": "2025-08-01",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.042323,
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      },
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        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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        "end": "2025-08-29",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.005139,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2025-09-05",
        "end": "2025-09-12",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.0,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2025-09-19",
        "end": "2026-03-20",
        "tenure": "Extended",
        "return": 0.120501,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
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        "return": -0.02921,
        "active": false
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      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
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      {
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        "return": -0.027451,
        "active": true
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    ],
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        "relative_strength": -18.016058,
        "stage": 3,
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        "modifier": "Supply rotation",
        "gate": "mixed",
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        "energy": 79.046634,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-08",
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        "relative_strength": -19.345832,
        "stage": 3,
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        "modifier": "Structural failure",
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        "activity_lines": [
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      },
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        "date": "2026-05-15",
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        "trend": 183.177905,
        "fair_value": 161.39576,
        "relative_strength": -15.299894,
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        "direction": -84.309305,
        "energy": 74.344307,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-22",
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        "fair_value": 161.378859,
        "relative_strength": -14.507563,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early contraction",
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        "direction": -75.657251,
        "energy": 71.314467,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-29",
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        "relative_strength": -9.903471,
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        "modifier": "Early contraction",
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        "energy": 66.82347,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-05",
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        "volume": 0,
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        "trend": 183.513364,
        "fair_value": 161.424929,
        "relative_strength": -7.160356,
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        "modifier": "Early contraction",
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        "direction": -54.076545,
        "energy": 58.044608,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-12",
        "close": 179.279999,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 7.05,
        "trend": 183.104188,
        "fair_value": 161.557759,
        "relative_strength": -6.055077,
        "stage": 4,
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        "activity_lines": [
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      },
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        "date": "2026-06-19",
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        "fair_value": 161.69059,
        "relative_strength": -4.370023,
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        "modifier": "Early contraction",
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        "direction": -31.27353,
        "energy": 41.731743,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-26",
        "close": 179.279999,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 7.05,
        "trend": 182.523652,
        "fair_value": 161.82342,
        "relative_strength": -6.669271,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -20.985737,
        "energy": 49.391588,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
        "close": 179.279999,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 7.05,
        "trend": 182.233384,
        "fair_value": 161.967836,
        "relative_strength": -6.912567,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": 1.84951,
        "energy": 38.757949,
        "activity_lines": [
          179.042666,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
        "close": 193.800003,
        "volume": 1,
        "typical_volume": 7.1,
        "trend": 182.427117,
        "fair_value": 162.189785,
        "relative_strength": -1.139662,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "modifier": "Structural repair",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 58.76235,
        "energy": 80.401226,
        "activity_lines": [
          184.12,
          180.244762,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 193.800003,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 7.1,
        "trend": 182.573853,
        "fair_value": 162.413713,
        "relative_strength": 1.501904,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "modifier": "Value reclamation",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 60.027897,
        "energy": 85.841433,
        "activity_lines": [
          187.992001,
          183.30891,
          179.374098,
          180.468409
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 188.479996,
        "volume": 2,
        "typical_volume": 7.15,
        "trend": 182.543255,
        "fair_value": 162.603539,
        "relative_strength": -1.144148,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "modifier": "Value reclamation",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 31.156508,
        "energy": 75.243655,
        "activity_lines": [
          189.122667,
          184.939091,
          180.261544,
          180.84945
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 188.479996,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 7.15,
        "trend": 182.512658,
        "fair_value": 162.830215,
        "relative_strength": -2.96159,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "modifier": "Value reclamation",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 31.208341,
        "energy": 75.669521,
        "activity_lines": [
          189.639999,
          186.223999,
          181.160078,
          181.232466
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 188.479996,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 7.15,
        "trend": 182.48206,
        "fair_value": 163.056892,
        "relative_strength": 0.401572,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "modifier": "Value reclamation",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 38.786371,
        "energy": 77.20398,
        "activity_lines": [
          189.543997,
          187.163635,
          182.069702,
          181.617455
        ]
      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}