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Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^N225", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2a", "phase_label": "Stage 2A \u00b7 Early advance", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 64.873, "architecture_energy": 58.293, "architecture_maturity": 76.467, "architecture_confidence": 66.756, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 13.24, "rotation_up": 54.94, "upward_expansion": 83.55, "deceleration": 68.66, "rotation_down": 26.15, "downward_expansion": 10.21 }, "activity_lines": [ 944.980005, 941.678186, 920.886929, 901.449052 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.666667 }, "latest_close": 946.200012, "trend_reference": 880.192867, "distance_from_trend": 0.074992, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 713.999339, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.325211, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -6.279661, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.116037, "excess_performance": -0.093222, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.074992, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.044608, "read": 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"activity_lines": [ 936.439998, 922.765553, 896.743987, 881.917812 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 965.900024, "volume": 96170, "typical_volume": 53144.5, "trend": 870.45025, "fair_value": 706.200395, "relative_strength": -3.198124, "stage": 3, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 90.200757, "energy": 95.827863, "activity_lines": [ 948.513338, 933.041342, 905.328173, 888.3833 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 942.099976, "volume": 61010, "typical_volume": 50524.5, "trend": 873.83503, "fair_value": 708.865255, "relative_strength": -5.938728, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 68.036072, "energy": 82.49456, "activity_lines": [ 948.619995, 937.112582, 911.08957, 893.005863 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 935.700012, "volume": 182430, "typical_volume": 56298.5, "trend": 877.195567, "fair_value": 711.415872, "relative_strength": -5.833458, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 65.446787, "energy": 64.500376, "activity_lines": [ 945.180001, 938.805458, 915.749851, 896.997152 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 946.200012, "volume": 193990, "typical_volume": 65327.5, "trend": 880.192867, "fair_value": 713.999339, "relative_strength": -6.279661, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 64.872701, "energy": 58.293313, "activity_lines": [ 944.980005, 941.678186, 920.886929, 901.449052 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }