{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "09366503-2c8e-4531-8f65-e5f8419dd1cb",
    "symbol": "TOTL",
    "name": "STATE STREET DOUBLELINE TOTAL RETURN TACTICAL ETF",
    "exchange": "NYSEARCA",
    "country": "US",
    "assetType": "etf"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "SPY",
    "stage": 4,
    "stage_name": "Declining",
    "phase": "4a",
    "phase_label": "Stage 4A \u00b7 Breakdown",
    "transition": "stage_4_declining",
    "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact",
    "confidence": 57.514,
    "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction",
    "architecture_gate": "down",
    "architecture_direction": -62.301,
    "architecture_energy": 69.063,
    "architecture_maturity": 22.924,
    "architecture_confidence": 86.903,
    "architecture_tenure": "Developing",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 20.34,
        "rotation_up": 10.35,
        "upward_expansion": 15.6,
        "deceleration": 37.39,
        "rotation_down": 72.48,
        "downward_expansion": 91.27
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        38.750898,
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        39.027258,
        39.135377
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      "activity_state": "Moderate",
      "activity_direction": "Expanding",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": -0.833333
    },
    "latest_close": 38.83,
    "trend_reference": 39.28379,
    "distance_from_trend": -0.011552,
    "trend_direction": "Weakening",
    "fair_value": 37.184536,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.044251,
    "fair_value_direction": "Weakening",
    "relative_strength": -11.917349,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening",
    "price_momentum": -0.020291,
    "excess_performance": -0.145916,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.011552,
        "read": "Below"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.003119,
        "read": "Falling"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.044251,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.02306,
        "read": "Moving away"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.119173,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.015148,
        "read": "Weakening"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.020291,
        "read": "Negative"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": false,
        "value": 0.628711,
        "read": "Supply-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 2047902,
      "relative_activity": 0.882953,
      "balance": 0.628711,
      "dry_up": 1.388,
      "accumulation_observations": 3,
      "distribution_observations": 3
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.008441,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.0437,
      "from_high_reference": -0.031944,
      "from_low_reference": 0.014718
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 39.28379,
      "fair_value_reference": 37.184536,
      "structural_low": 38.525168,
      "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired."
    },
    "outcomes": [
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        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 19,
        "median_return": -0.006716,
        "positive_rate": 0.473684,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.526316,
        "median_excess_return": 0.011497,
        "regime_survival": 0.789474,
        "best_return": 0.04388,
        "worst_return": -0.03893,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 7,
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        "sufficient": true
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        "horizon": "Extended",
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        "worst_return": -0.081922,
        "sufficient": false
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        "horizon": "Full cycle",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-04-17",
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      },
      {
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
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        "typical_volume": 2219954.9,
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        "fair_value": 37.12754,
        "relative_strength": -9.025811,
        "stage": 3,
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        "direction": -75.06224,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 38.589883,
        "volume": 3802289,
        "typical_volume": 2305858.6,
        "trend": 39.307485,
        "fair_value": 37.154688,
        "relative_strength": -9.712222,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -73.647681,
        "energy": 74.427507,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 38.83,
        "volume": 2047902,
        "typical_volume": 2319377.0,
        "trend": 39.28379,
        "fair_value": 37.184536,
        "relative_strength": -11.917349,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -62.300947,
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}