{ "ticker": { "uuid": "093a1052-d163-4e48-9f9b-81c5a55d2335", "symbol": "002448", "name": "ZYNP Corporation", "exchange": "SHZ", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "399001.SZ", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4a", "phase_label": "Stage 4A \u00b7 Breakdown", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 60.744, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -61.332, "architecture_energy": 49.756, "architecture_maturity": 20.051, "architecture_confidence": 87.158, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 19.68, "rotation_up": 19.63, "upward_expansion": 7.18, "deceleration": 50.45, "rotation_down": 58.81, "downward_expansion": 80.52 }, "activity_lines": [ 11.430667, 11.631803, 12.554479, 13.226307 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Stable", "price_acceptance": -0.666667 }, "latest_close": 12.15, "trend_reference": 13.84494, "distance_from_trend": -0.122423, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 8.644543, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.405511, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -6.353467, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.080938, "excess_performance": -0.088338, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.122423, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.006885, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.405511, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.566204, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.063535, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.210294, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.080938, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.86304, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 110434420, "relative_activity": 1.203631, "balance": 0.86304, "dry_up": 1.3827, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 4 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.112221, "annualized_volatility": 0.542653, "from_high_reference": -0.323873, "from_low_reference": 0.416084 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 13.84494, "fair_value_reference": 8.644543, "structural_low": 9.63, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 18, "median_return": 0.04367, "positive_rate": 0.611111, "directional_follow_through": 0.388889, "median_excess_return": -0.00931, "regime_survival": 0.722222, "best_return": 0.145038, "worst_return": -0.202435, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 7, "median_return": 0.001527, "positive_rate": 0.571429, "directional_follow_through": 0.428571, "median_excess_return": -0.021809, "regime_survival": 0.428571, "best_return": 0.127886, "worst_return": -0.08189, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": 0.055633, "positive_rate": 0.75, "directional_follow_through": 0.25, "median_excess_return": 0.004618, "regime_survival": 0.25, "best_return": 0.082185, "worst_return": -0.099434, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full 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"upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2024-12-13", "end": "2025-01-03", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.125937, "active": false }, { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2025-01-10", "end": "2025-01-31", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.070492, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2025-02-07", "end": "2025-04-11", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.128951, "active": false }, { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2025-04-18", "end": "2025-05-30", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.217707, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2025-06-06", "end": "2025-11-28", "tenure": "Established", "return": 0.244036, "active": false }, { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2025-12-05", "end": 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12.030539, 13.162358, 13.680704 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 10.85, "volume": 133261176, "typical_volume": 92897199.15, "trend": 13.911607, "fair_value": 8.583806, "relative_strength": -12.876696, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -69.008045, "energy": 80.34736, "activity_lines": [ 11.008667, 11.7045, 12.861652, 13.479374 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 11.71, "volume": 164213523, "typical_volume": 91802399.55, "trend": 13.87094, "fair_value": 8.612548, "relative_strength": -4.757251, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -65.137705, "energy": 72.07235, "activity_lines": [ 11.126667, 11.608103, 12.67647, 13.337335 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 12.15, "volume": 110434420, "typical_volume": 91751054.75, "trend": 13.84494, "fair_value": 8.644543, "relative_strength": -6.353467, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -61.332116, "energy": 49.755937, "activity_lines": [ 11.430667, 11.631803, 12.554479, 13.226307 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }