{ "ticker": { "uuid": "09456bc3-a9d2-4eaa-acc3-661fc599f05a", "symbol": "CPI", "name": "Chumporn Palm Oil Industry Public Company Limited", "exchange": "SET", "country": "TH", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^SET.BK", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2b", "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 54.205, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Re-accelerating", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 56.203, "architecture_energy": 51.575, "architecture_maturity": 15.156, "architecture_confidence": 70.441, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 13.45, "rotation_up": 66.45, "upward_expansion": 84.61, "deceleration": 47.6, "rotation_down": 15.52, "downward_expansion": 11.28 }, "activity_lines": [ 3.562667, 3.533818, 3.49419, 3.469081 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 0.666667 }, "latest_close": 3.46, "trend_reference": 3.410735, "distance_from_trend": 0.014444, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 2.61867, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.321281, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -6.903341, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.093236, "excess_performance": -0.099089, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.014444, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.053022, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.321281, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.066726, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.069033, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.083653, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.093236, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.643091, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 2108400, "relative_activity": 1.433082, "balance": 1.643091, "dry_up": 1.002882, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.031125, "annualized_volatility": 0.184854, "from_high_reference": -0.089474, "from_low_reference": 0.221852 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 3.410735, "fair_value_reference": 2.61867, "structural_low": 3.090884, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 20, "median_return": 0.017907, "positive_rate": 0.65, "directional_follow_through": 0.65, "median_excess_return": 0.001041, "regime_survival": 0.65, "best_return": 0.170984, "worst_return": -0.293333, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 8, "median_return": -0.039095, "positive_rate": 0.375, "directional_follow_through": 0.375, "median_excess_return": 0.005358, "regime_survival": 0.25, "best_return": 0.105874, "worst_return": -0.189474, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": -0.041886, "positive_rate": 0.333333, "directional_follow_through": 0.333333, "median_excess_return": -0.032052, "regime_survival": 0.333333, "best_return": 0.11039, "worst_return": -0.212435, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full 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"volume": 2108400, "typical_volume": 1471235.0, "trend": 3.410735, "fair_value": 2.61867, "relative_strength": -6.903341, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 56.203047, "energy": 51.574638, "activity_lines": [ 3.562667, 3.533818, 3.49419, 3.469081 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }