{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "094ba8d4-1a5b-4ff5-a789-630e49274513",
    "symbol": "ALCLS",
    "name": "Cellectis S.A.",
    "exchange": "PAR",
    "country": "FR",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^FCHI",
    "stage": 4,
    "stage_name": "Declining",
    "phase": "4b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining",
    "transition": "stage_4_declining",
    "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction",
    "architecture_gate": "down",
    "architecture_direction": -64.715,
    "architecture_energy": 59.445,
    "architecture_maturity": 34.596,
    "architecture_confidence": 93.626,
    "architecture_tenure": "Developing",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 11.98,
        "rotation_up": 18.34,
        "upward_expansion": 11.7,
        "deceleration": 41.36,
        "rotation_down": 60.28,
        "downward_expansion": 85.04
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        2.468533,
        2.532109,
        2.7458,
        2.873351
      ],
      "activity_state": "Wide",
      "activity_direction": "Expanding",
      "rotation_direction": "Stable",
      "price_acceptance": -0.666667
    },
    "latest_close": 2.41,
    "trend_reference": 3.040833,
    "distance_from_trend": -0.207454,
    "trend_direction": "Weakening",
    "fair_value": 2.332244,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.03334,
    "fair_value_direction": "Weakening",
    "relative_strength": -28.935637,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening",
    "price_momentum": -0.223833,
    "excess_performance": -0.277144,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.207454,
        "read": "Below"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.126398,
        "read": "Falling"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.03334,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.380762,
        "read": "Moving away"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.289356,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.389473,
        "read": "Weakening"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.223833,
        "read": "Negative"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": false,
        "value": 0.885822,
        "read": "Supply-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 313440,
      "relative_activity": 0.333484,
      "balance": 0.885822,
      "dry_up": 0.584208,
      "accumulation_observations": 2,
      "distribution_observations": 1
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.142228,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.648115,
      "from_high_reference": -0.502066,
      "from_low_reference": 0.187192
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 3.040833,
      "fair_value_reference": 2.332244,
      "structural_low": 2.28,
      "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 40,
        "median_return": -0.056544,
        "positive_rate": 0.35,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.65,
        "median_excess_return": -0.062144,
        "regime_survival": 0.85,
        "best_return": 1.846491,
        "worst_return": -0.377049,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 14,
        "median_return": -0.149264,
        "positive_rate": 0.428571,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.571429,
        "median_excess_return": -0.181306,
        "regime_survival": 0.642857,
        "best_return": 0.887978,
        "worst_return": -0.40913,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 7,
        "median_return": -0.144772,
        "positive_rate": 0.285714,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.714286,
        "median_excess_return": -0.188099,
        "regime_survival": 0.714286,
        "best_return": 0.443666,
        "worst_return": -0.627675,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 4,
        "median_return": -0.263086,
        "positive_rate": 0.0,
        "directional_follow_through": 1.0,
        "median_excess_return": -0.353833,
        "regime_survival": 0.75,
        "best_return": -0.012399,
        "worst_return": -0.799539,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
    "ledger": [
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        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2023-12-01",
        "end": "2024-01-19",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.079819,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2024-01-26",
        "end": "2024-05-17",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": -0.001887,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
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        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.223108,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
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        "end": "2024-08-02",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
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        "end": "2024-08-09",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.0,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
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        "end": "2025-05-09",
        "tenure": "Extended",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
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        "end": "2025-07-18",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.154639,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
        "color": "teal",
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        "end": "2025-08-01",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.116592,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
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        "active": false
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        "regime": "deceleration",
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        "regime": "rotation_down",
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        "return": 0.104982,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-01",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-08",
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      },
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        "date": "2026-05-15",
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      },
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-29",
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      {
        "date": "2026-06-05",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-26",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
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        "fair_value": 2.316987,
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        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early contraction",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
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        "trend": 3.245167,
        "fair_value": 2.320423,
        "relative_strength": -20.044176,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -63.305733,
        "energy": 50.860406,
        "activity_lines": [
          2.654133,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 2.31,
        "volume": 679003,
        "typical_volume": 1017800.6,
        "trend": 3.197833,
        "fair_value": 2.319346,
        "relative_strength": -28.956002,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -75.468768,
        "energy": 62.449821,
        "activity_lines": [
          2.535733,
          2.649382,
          2.8795,
          2.998086
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 2.592,
        "volume": 661902,
        "typical_volume": 1001472.95,
        "trend": 3.1464,
        "fair_value": 2.323513,
        "relative_strength": -20.699401,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -59.05635,
        "energy": 43.862811,
        "activity_lines": [
          2.5416,
          2.611564,
          2.840857,
          2.959
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 2.498,
        "volume": 542035,
        "typical_volume": 970693.0,
        "trend": 3.089167,
        "fair_value": 2.328231,
        "relative_strength": -24.673757,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -61.666261,
        "energy": 53.705002,
        "activity_lines": [
          2.521333,
          2.574691,
          2.795967,
          2.917168
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 2.41,
        "volume": 313440,
        "typical_volume": 939896.15,
        "trend": 3.040833,
        "fair_value": 2.332244,
        "relative_strength": -28.935637,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -64.71485,
        "energy": 59.445108,
        "activity_lines": [
          2.468533,
          2.532109,
          2.7458,
          2.873351
        ]
      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}