{ "ticker": { "uuid": "094cf9ac-930e-41dd-8486-cb241b955309", "symbol": "8101", "name": "Arima Communications Corp.", "exchange": "TAI", "country": "TW", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-14", "benchmark": "^TWII", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -76.623, "architecture_energy": 66.612, "architecture_maturity": 18.418, "architecture_confidence": 75.861, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 19.4, "rotation_up": 10.78, "upward_expansion": 12.96, "deceleration": 38.33, "rotation_down": 76.03, "downward_expansion": 90.96 }, "activity_lines": [ 12.386667, 12.864545, 13.284762, 13.540538 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -1.0 }, "latest_close": 11.5, "trend_reference": 14.028333, "distance_from_trend": -0.18023, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 11.185705, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.028098, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -47.000654, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.245902, "excess_performance": -0.687274, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.18023, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.06871, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.028098, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.195943, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.470007, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.022708, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.245902, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 3.697309, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 58382, "relative_activity": 0.824221, "balance": 3.697309, "dry_up": 0.400061, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 0 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.110702, "annualized_volatility": 0.397164, "from_high_reference": -0.397906, "from_low_reference": 0.026786 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 14.028333, "fair_value_reference": 11.185705, "structural_low": 11.2, 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13.45, 13.834546, 13.73381, 14.017634 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 13.25, "volume": 25014, "typical_volume": 70713.15, "trend": 14.425, "fair_value": 11.062949, "relative_strength": -38.280229, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "down", "direction": -43.642122, "energy": 34.011879, "activity_lines": [ 13.326667, 13.726364, 13.676191, 13.934839 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 12.8, "volume": 14550, "typical_volume": 69816.35, "trend": 14.301667, "fair_value": 11.106731, "relative_strength": -38.929732, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "down", "direction": -60.060586, "energy": 47.916505, "activity_lines": [ 13.133333, 13.529091, 13.586905, 13.83 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 12.5, "volume": 15404, "typical_volume": 68837.1, "trend": 14.185, "fair_value": 11.149038, "relative_strength": -41.1597, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -63.0147, "energy": 50.266008, "activity_lines": [ 12.89, 13.280909, 13.479524, 13.713763 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-14", "close": 11.5, "volume": 58382, "typical_volume": 70832.95, "trend": 14.028333, "fair_value": 11.185705, "relative_strength": -47.000654, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -76.622935, "energy": 66.612402, "activity_lines": [ 12.386667, 12.864545, 13.284762, 13.540538 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }