{ "ticker": { "uuid": "094fa740-cf92-4553-b1a0-de8ff132b577", "symbol": "TTL", "name": "T.T. Limited", "exchange": "NSI", "country": "IN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^NSEI", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -82.695, "architecture_energy": 77.193, "architecture_maturity": 46.0, "architecture_confidence": 93.33, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 3.85, "rotation_up": 18.88, "upward_expansion": 15.99, "deceleration": 41.18, "rotation_down": 70.14, "downward_expansion": 91.66 }, "activity_lines": [ 6.271333, 6.480727, 6.960857, 7.413398 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Stable", "price_acceptance": -0.833333 }, "latest_close": 5.81, "trend_reference": 7.881, "distance_from_trend": -0.262784, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 10.933112, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.468587, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -32.589639, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.370531, "excess_performance": -0.326822, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.262784, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.083676, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.468587, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.18558, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.325896, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.105385, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.370531, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.278496, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 1121208, "relative_activity": 2.547309, "balance": 0.278496, "dry_up": 1.740834, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 4 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.101284, "annualized_volatility": 0.33847, "from_high_reference": -0.521568, "from_low_reference": 0.019298 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 7.881, "fair_value_reference": 10.933112, "structural_low": 5.7, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 18, "median_return": -0.023252, "positive_rate": 0.333333, "directional_follow_through": 0.666667, "median_excess_return": -0.030168, "regime_survival": 0.777778, "best_return": 0.274151, "worst_return": -0.14433, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": -0.006161, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.064226, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": 0.235613, "worst_return": -0.234197, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": -0.05962, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.102326, "regime_survival": 0.25, "best_return": 0.132293, "worst_return": -0.231185, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", 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-69.817579, "energy": 71.573807, "activity_lines": [ 6.688667, 6.885091, 7.385714, 7.759957 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 6.37, "volume": 936561, "typical_volume": 470226.35, "trend": 8.014667, "fair_value": 10.956517, "relative_strength": -25.657901, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -72.636521, "energy": 68.573899, "activity_lines": [ 6.57, 6.751091, 7.245619, 7.649226 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 6.5, "volume": 466643, "typical_volume": 430336.8, "trend": 7.950667, "fair_value": 10.948892, "relative_strength": -25.018537, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -65.18882, "energy": 58.033874, "activity_lines": [ 6.525333, 6.667636, 7.131, 7.551505 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 5.81, "volume": 1121208, "typical_volume": 440153.95, "trend": 7.881, "fair_value": 10.933112, "relative_strength": -32.589639, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -82.694539, "energy": 77.192582, "activity_lines": [ 6.271333, 6.480727, 6.960857, 7.413398 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }