{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "095d922f-5b9f-411e-a8cd-fa95a91a3092",
    "symbol": "AEG",
    "name": "Aegon NV ADR",
    "exchange": "NYSE",
    "country": "US",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "SPY",
    "stage": 2,
    "stage_name": "Advancing",
    "phase": "2b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing",
    "transition": "stage_2_healthy",
    "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 85.282,
    "architecture_energy": 93.613,
    "architecture_maturity": 42.116,
    "architecture_confidence": 79.738,
    "architecture_tenure": "Established",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 0.0,
        "rotation_up": 86.45,
        "upward_expansion": 99.74,
        "deceleration": 39.09,
        "rotation_down": 9.46,
        "downward_expansion": 21.74
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        9.308,
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        8.646843,
        8.304055
      ],
      "activity_state": "Wide",
      "activity_direction": "Expanding",
      "rotation_direction": "Improving",
      "price_acceptance": 1.0
    },
    "latest_close": 9.53,
    "trend_reference": 7.932059,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.201453,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 6.212731,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.533947,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": 10.273877,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Improving",
    "price_momentum": 0.244437,
    "excess_performance": 0.118812,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.201453,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.058986,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.533947,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.150488,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.102739,
        "read": "Leading"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.105252,
        "read": "Improving"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.244437,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 2.509387,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 24817903,
      "relative_activity": 0.989391,
      "balance": 2.509387,
      "dry_up": 1.067539,
      "accumulation_observations": 4,
      "distribution_observations": 1
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.033396,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.21714,
      "from_high_reference": -0.008325,
      "from_low_reference": 0.452765
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 7.932059,
      "fair_value_reference": 6.212731,
      "structural_low": 6.559904,
      "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 32,
        "median_return": 0.002491,
        "positive_rate": 0.5625,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.5625,
        "median_excess_return": -0.009548,
        "regime_survival": 0.65625,
        "best_return": 0.156904,
        "worst_return": -0.129964,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 12,
        "median_return": -0.006468,
        "positive_rate": 0.5,
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        "regime_survival": 0.166667,
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        "worst_return": -0.260644,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 8,
        "median_return": 0.056861,
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        "directional_follow_through": 0.625,
        "median_excess_return": 0.012705,
        "regime_survival": 0.375,
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        "worst_return": -0.24461,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 4,
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        "worst_return": -0.185361,
        "sufficient": false
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        "regime": "deceleration",
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      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
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        "regime": "balance",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 9.44,
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        "typical_volume": 25616370.8,
        "trend": 7.861563,
        "fair_value": 6.181051,
        "relative_strength": 13.315206,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 88.781048,
        "energy": 94.560639,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 9.53,
        "volume": 24817903,
        "typical_volume": 25084011.8,
        "trend": 7.932059,
        "fair_value": 6.212731,
        "relative_strength": 10.273877,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 85.281939,
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        "activity_lines": [
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}