{ "ticker": { "uuid": "0961b88b-8f2a-44f6-9114-51ee84559775", "symbol": "BRR", "name": "Buriram Sugar Public Company Limited", "exchange": "SET", "country": "TH", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^SET.BK", "stage": 1, "stage_name": "Basing", "phase": "1b", "phase_label": "Stage 1B \u00b7 Basing", "transition": "stage_1_building", "transition_label": "Base still building", "confidence": 80.091, "architecture_regime": "balance", "architecture_regime_label": "Balance", "architecture_modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "architecture_gate": "mixed", "architecture_direction": 11.747, "architecture_energy": 18.709, "architecture_maturity": 38.235, "architecture_confidence": 54.072, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "Directional pressure has compressed into balance.", "body": "Trend and Activity are compressed into balance, so neither side has durable control. Prior structure and the next directional change provide context; balance alone is not assumed to be a base." }, "scores": { "balance": 57.58, "rotation_up": 47.96, "upward_expansion": 43.94, "deceleration": 24.99, "rotation_down": 22.91, "downward_expansion": 18.94 }, "activity_lines": [ 3.634667, 3.625818, 3.615067, 3.622007 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 0.5 }, "latest_close": 3.64, "trend_reference": 3.629354, "distance_from_trend": 0.002933, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 3.835841, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.051055, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -13.727475, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.002605, "excess_performance": -0.18972, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.002933, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.020861, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.051055, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.022349, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.137275, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.028166, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.002605, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.698011, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 238100, "relative_activity": 0.46995, "balance": 0.698011, "dry_up": 0.698855, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.019442, "annualized_volatility": 0.166093, "from_high_reference": -0.101438, "from_low_reference": 0.101127 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 3.629354, "fair_value_reference": 3.835841, "structural_low": 3.343919, "invalidation": "A renewed decline below the structural range low, widening the discount to current Fair Value while Trend falls, weakens the base diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 21, "median_return": -0.003431, "positive_rate": 0.380952, "directional_follow_through": 0.380952, "median_excess_return": -0.018849, "regime_survival": 0.52381, "best_return": 0.436364, "worst_return": -0.129353, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 10, "median_return": -0.043193, "positive_rate": 0.3, "directional_follow_through": 0.3, "median_excess_return": -0.011033, "regime_survival": 0.3, "best_return": 0.380952, "worst_return": -0.263158, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 7, "median_return": -0.029851, "positive_rate": 0.428571, "directional_follow_through": 0.428571, "median_excess_return": -0.071818, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.335658, "worst_return": -0.192, "sufficient": true }, 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"date": "2026-07-10", "close": 3.62, "volume": 359800, "typical_volume": 692060.0, "trend": 3.60583, "fair_value": 3.858684, "relative_strength": -17.203995, "stage": 1, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "up", "direction": 21.250282, "energy": 12.058329, "activity_lines": [ 3.612, 3.606545, 3.60779, 3.616857 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 3.64, "volume": 558800, "typical_volume": 654300.0, "trend": 3.612514, "fair_value": 3.853071, "relative_strength": -16.961826, "stage": 1, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 19.579463, "energy": 12.543645, "activity_lines": [ 3.622667, 3.612364, 3.610037, 3.619062 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 3.62, "volume": 506200, "typical_volume": 638755.0, "trend": 3.617896, "fair_value": 3.84733, "relative_strength": -17.017889, "stage": 1, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 15.290683, "energy": 10.90043, "activity_lines": [ 3.622667, 3.614545, 3.61079, 3.619544 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 3.64, "volume": 113200, "typical_volume": 620915.0, "trend": 3.623943, "fair_value": 3.841454, "relative_strength": -14.938702, "stage": 1, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 11.941665, "energy": 14.545701, "activity_lines": [ 3.629333, 3.620727, 3.61286, 3.620971 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 3.64, "volume": 238100, "typical_volume": 506650.0, "trend": 3.629354, "fair_value": 3.835841, "relative_strength": -13.727475, "stage": 1, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 11.746729, "energy": 18.708682, "activity_lines": [ 3.634667, 3.625818, 3.615067, 3.622007 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }