{ "ticker": { "uuid": "096754cf-6ba8-47f4-9c43-5e8dd035f5a1", "symbol": "SPHL", "name": "Springview Holdings Ltd Class A Ordinary Shares", "exchange": "NASDAQ", "country": "US", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "QQQ", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4a", "phase_label": "Stage 4A \u00b7 Breakdown", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 65.22, "architecture_regime": "balance", "architecture_regime_label": "Balance", "architecture_modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -44.018, "architecture_energy": 21.469, "architecture_maturity": 28.792, "architecture_confidence": 88.716, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "Directional pressure has compressed into balance.", "body": "Trend and Activity are compressed into balance, so neither side has durable control. Prior structure and the next directional change provide context; balance alone is not assumed to be a base." }, "scores": { "balance": 39.73, "rotation_up": 19.57, "upward_expansion": 3.53, "deceleration": 45.7, "rotation_down": 47.5, "downward_expansion": 74.53 }, "activity_lines": [ 2.692667, 2.781818, 2.866857, 2.912491 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Stable", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.5 }, "latest_close": 2.74, "trend_reference": 3.261517, "distance_from_trend": -0.1599, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 10.143111, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.729866, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -31.162337, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": -0.440816, "excess_performance": -0.62827, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.1599, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.009676, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.729866, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.01754, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.311623, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.062148, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.440816, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 14.915422, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 333276, "relative_activity": 0.105265, "balance": 14.915422, "dry_up": 0.051817, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 0 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.487501, "annualized_volatility": 1.571652, "from_high_reference": -0.89088, "from_low_reference": 0.427083 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 3.261517, "fair_value_reference": 10.143111, "structural_low": 2.175, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 1, "median_return": 0.031621, "positive_rate": 1.0, "directional_follow_through": 1.0, "median_excess_return": 0.091737, "regime_survival": 1.0, "best_return": 0.031621, "worst_return": 0.031621, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 0, "median_return": null, "positive_rate": null, "directional_follow_through": null, "median_excess_return": null, "regime_survival": null, "best_return": null, "worst_return": null, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 0, "median_return": null, "positive_rate": null, "directional_follow_through": null, "median_excess_return": null, "regime_survival": null, "best_return": null, "worst_return": null, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", "sample_count": 0, "median_return": null, "positive_rate": null, "directional_follow_through": null, "median_excess_return": null, "regime_survival": null, "best_return": null, "worst_return": null, "sufficient": false } ], "ledger": [ { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2026-04-24", "end": "2026-05-29", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.051948, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_up", "label": "Rotation Up", "color": "teal", "start": "2026-06-05", "end": "2026-06-12", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.315888, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2026-06-19", "end": "2026-08-07", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.083004, "active": true } ], "chart_path": [ { "date": "2024-10-18", "close": 33.28, "volume": 1210201, "typical_volume": null, "trend": null, "fair_value": null, "relative_strength": null, "stage": null, "regime": null, "modifier": null, "gate": null, "direction": null, "energy": null, "activity_lines": [ 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"gate": "down", "direction": -30.065318, "energy": 18.734631, "activity_lines": [ 2.864, 3.068727, 2.942645, 3.062625 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 2.61, "volume": 131520, "typical_volume": 3153915.5, "trend": 3.211517, "fair_value": 10.387342, "relative_strength": -34.288943, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "down", "direction": -37.736985, "energy": 20.546787, "activity_lines": [ 2.758667, 2.985545, 2.91919, 3.022957 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 2.59, "volume": 121647, "typical_volume": 3154847.35, "trend": 3.219517, "fair_value": 10.3035, "relative_strength": -32.947044, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "down", "direction": -38.822744, "energy": 21.371188, "activity_lines": [ 2.716667, 2.903091, 2.894095, 2.982859 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 2.63, "volume": 69774, "typical_volume": 3152060.3, "trend": 3.241183, "fair_value": 10.221867, "relative_strength": -31.381511, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "down", "direction": -46.14986, "energy": 25.05937, "activity_lines": [ 2.684, 2.833455, 2.874286, 2.944826 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 2.74, "volume": 333276, "typical_volume": 3166051.7, "trend": 3.261517, "fair_value": 10.143111, "relative_strength": -31.162337, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "down", "direction": -44.018379, "energy": 21.46904, "activity_lines": [ 2.692667, 2.781818, 2.866857, 2.912491 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }