{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "096957ae-2026-4758-a210-e9004e22333d",
    "symbol": "SPSM",
    "name": "STATE STREET SPDR PORTFOLIO S&P 600 SMALL CAP ETF",
    "exchange": "NYSEARCA",
    "country": "US",
    "assetType": "etf"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "SPY",
    "stage": 2,
    "stage_name": "Advancing",
    "phase": "2b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing",
    "transition": "stage_2_healthy",
    "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 73.244,
    "architecture_energy": 57.156,
    "architecture_maturity": 66.756,
    "architecture_confidence": 69.021,
    "architecture_tenure": "Established",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 13.81,
        "rotation_up": 51.84,
        "upward_expansion": 80.12,
        "deceleration": 69.49,
        "rotation_down": 26.8,
        "downward_expansion": 9.12
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        56.994,
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        55.486077,
        54.116383
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      "activity_state": "Wide",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": 0.5
    },
    "latest_close": 57.91,
    "trend_reference": 52.554817,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.101897,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 43.825053,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.32139,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": 3.786697,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Improving",
    "price_momentum": 0.129896,
    "excess_performance": 0.004271,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.101897,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.063651,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.32139,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.052346,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.037867,
        "read": "Leading"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.009557,
        "read": "Improving"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.129896,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 1.152375,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 10502671,
      "relative_activity": 1.148045,
      "balance": 1.152375,
      "dry_up": 0.909171,
      "accumulation_observations": 2,
      "distribution_observations": 2
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.029725,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.149359,
      "from_high_reference": -0.01169,
      "from_low_reference": 0.359592
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 52.554817,
      "fair_value_reference": 43.825053,
      "structural_low": 46.59365,
      "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 29,
        "median_return": 0.007922,
        "positive_rate": 0.655172,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.655172,
        "median_excess_return": -0.010021,
        "regime_survival": 0.758621,
        "best_return": 0.045705,
        "worst_return": -0.083138,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 11,
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        "directional_follow_through": 0.545455,
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        "worst_return": -0.121684,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
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        "positive_rate": 0.666667,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.666667,
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        "regime_survival": 0.333333,
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        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
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        "sufficient": false
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        "regime": "deceleration",
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      },
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        "date": "2026-07-03",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
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        "typical_volume": 9973088.75,
        "trend": 51.946376,
        "fair_value": 43.580412,
        "relative_strength": 6.048844,
        "stage": 2,
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        "modifier": "Established expansion",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 56.57,
        "volume": 6585342,
        "typical_volume": 9550371.75,
        "trend": 52.260817,
        "fair_value": 43.696849,
        "relative_strength": 5.143994,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
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        "direction": 60.764671,
        "energy": 52.696381,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 57.91,
        "volume": 10502671,
        "typical_volume": 9148308.2,
        "trend": 52.554817,
        "fair_value": 43.825053,
        "relative_strength": 3.786697,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
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        "direction": 73.244284,
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        "activity_lines": [
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}