{ "ticker": { "uuid": "096deb15-787b-467a-812c-8a8c653dd55e", "symbol": "SIKKO", "name": "Sikko Industries Limited", "exchange": "NSI", "country": "IN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^NSEI", "stage": 3, "stage_name": "Distribution", "phase": "3a", "phase_label": "Stage 3A \u00b7 Churning", "transition": "stage_3_churning", "transition_label": "Stage 3 range intact", "confidence": 83.272, "architecture_regime": "rotation_up", "architecture_regime_label": "Rotation Up", "architecture_modifier": "Value reclamation", "architecture_gate": "mixed", "architecture_direction": 64.102, "architecture_energy": 71.452, "architecture_maturity": 24.0, "architecture_confidence": 90.224, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The Activity Line structure is rotating upward.", "body": "Fast Activity is improving relative to Slow Activity and price acceptance is strengthening. This is earlier than full positive Trend confirmation and remains a developing repair." }, "scores": { "balance": 17.79, "rotation_up": 76.46, "upward_expansion": 57.2, "deceleration": 31.82, "rotation_down": 18.67, "downward_expansion": 22.53 }, "activity_lines": [ 5.179333, 4.657636, 4.481286, 4.48914 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 0.333333 }, "latest_close": 6.03, "trend_reference": 4.487667, "distance_from_trend": 0.343683, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 4.296867, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.403348, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 33.424872, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.42891, "excess_performance": 0.472619, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.343683, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.066246, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.403348, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.279557, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.334249, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.233361, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.42891, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 5.43884, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 8498801, "relative_activity": 3.52943, "balance": 5.43884, "dry_up": 2.7835, "accumulation_observations": 4, "distribution_observations": 0 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.065314, "annualized_volatility": 0.577682, "from_high_reference": -0.117324, "from_low_reference": 0.884081 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 4.487667, "fair_value_reference": 4.296867, "structural_low": 3.55, "invalidation": "A decisive breakout above range resistance with renewed RS leadership invalidates the distribution reading; a range-low break confirms deterioration." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 2, "median_return": 0.027344, "positive_rate": 1.0, "directional_follow_through": 1.0, "median_excess_return": -0.011475, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.038084, "worst_return": 0.016605, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 2, "median_return": 0.084933, "positive_rate": 1.0, "directional_follow_through": 1.0, "median_excess_return": 0.022591, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.115061, "worst_return": 0.054804, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 2, "median_return": -0.014298, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.000281, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.075542, "worst_return": -0.104139, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", "sample_count": 1, 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"2026-07-17", "close": 4.1, "volume": 1923506, "typical_volume": 1414075.0, "trend": 4.454667, "fair_value": 4.248783, "relative_strength": -6.233662, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -61.265674, "energy": 50.711267, "activity_lines": [ 3.961333, 3.984364, 4.203095, 4.314237 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 4.7, "volume": 9592708, "typical_volume": 1794407.6, "trend": 4.429, "fair_value": 4.261041, "relative_strength": 9.481469, "stage": 3, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -12.046409, "energy": 14.020486, "activity_lines": [ 4.226, 4.099636, 4.236048, 4.330065 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 5.3, "volume": 6795452, "typical_volume": 2053824.3, "trend": 4.435333, "fair_value": 4.27648, "relative_strength": 19.438215, "stage": 3, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Structural repair", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 34.899055, "energy": 40.763762, "activity_lines": [ 4.63, 4.320727, 4.32581, 4.386258 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 6.03, "volume": 8498801, "typical_volume": 2407981.2, "trend": 4.487667, "fair_value": 4.296867, "relative_strength": 33.424872, "stage": 3, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Value reclamation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 64.101768, "energy": 71.451996, "activity_lines": [ 5.179333, 4.657636, 4.481286, 4.48914 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }