{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "096e5e9e-b04b-43e8-887f-3a647303f3a2",
    "symbol": "JHML",
    "name": "JOHN HANCOCK EXCHANGE TRADED FD TR MULTIFACTOR LARGE CAP ETF",
    "exchange": "NYSEARCA",
    "country": "US",
    "assetType": "etf"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "SPY",
    "stage": 2,
    "stage_name": "Advancing",
    "phase": "2b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing",
    "transition": "stage_2_healthy",
    "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact",
    "confidence": 95.919,
    "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 83.357,
    "architecture_energy": 62.092,
    "architecture_maturity": 53.03,
    "architecture_confidence": 81.086,
    "architecture_tenure": "Established",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 11.51,
        "rotation_up": 58.04,
        "upward_expansion": 82.95,
        "deceleration": 62.01,
        "rotation_down": 26.15,
        "downward_expansion": 9.62
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        89.729427,
        89.203784,
        88.08532,
        86.441881
      ],
      "activity_state": "Wide",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": 0.666667
    },
    "latest_close": 91.68,
    "trend_reference": 84.593481,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.083771,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 69.894379,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.311693,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": -0.083234,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Improving",
    "price_momentum": 0.111205,
    "excess_performance": -0.01442,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.083771,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.037734,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.311693,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.020578,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.000832,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.011216,
        "read": "Improving"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.111205,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 1.606274,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 144772,
      "relative_activity": 1.043074,
      "balance": 1.606274,
      "dry_up": 1.194739,
      "accumulation_observations": 3,
      "distribution_observations": 2
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.020341,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.120221,
      "from_high_reference": -0.003965,
      "from_low_reference": 0.233421
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 84.593481,
      "fair_value_reference": 69.894379,
      "structural_low": 75.9,
      "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 40,
        "median_return": 0.011545,
        "positive_rate": 0.675,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.675,
        "median_excess_return": -0.001404,
        "regime_survival": 0.775,
        "best_return": 0.051455,
        "worst_return": -0.071498,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
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        "directional_follow_through": 0.714286,
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        "worst_return": -0.062938,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
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        "worst_return": -0.157261,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
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        "worst_return": -0.102946,
        "sufficient": false
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        "regime": "balance",
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        "active": false
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        "date": "2026-04-17",
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        "typical_volume": 143432.5,
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        "fair_value": 66.22805,
        "relative_strength": 0.383685,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "rotation_down",
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        "energy": 27.737525,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-04-24",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-01",
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        "relative_strength": -0.434088,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-08",
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        "typical_volume": 143528.15,
        "trend": 80.62622,
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        "relative_strength": -1.20479,
        "stage": 2,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-15",
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        "typical_volume": 143465.9,
        "trend": 80.916089,
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        "stage": 2,
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        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
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        "direction": 72.202783,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-22",
        "close": 87.342607,
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        "typical_volume": 142444.55,
        "trend": 81.196733,
        "fair_value": 67.376633,
        "relative_strength": -1.091045,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 77.643166,
        "energy": 84.150523,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-29",
        "close": 88.547264,
        "volume": 106326,
        "typical_volume": 135533.75,
        "trend": 81.517533,
        "fair_value": 67.616595,
        "relative_strength": -1.125224,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
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        "direction": 80.99229,
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        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-05",
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        "volume": 106343,
        "typical_volume": 126717.0,
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        "fair_value": 67.845515,
        "relative_strength": -0.206238,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
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        "direction": 66.159688,
        "energy": 72.415579,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-12",
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        "volume": 86748,
        "typical_volume": 120501.7,
        "trend": 82.151448,
        "fair_value": 68.072917,
        "relative_strength": 0.378957,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
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        "direction": 70.308911,
        "energy": 67.848029,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-19",
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        "volume": 304120,
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        "trend": 82.545717,
        "fair_value": 68.309619,
        "relative_strength": 0.13661,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-26",
        "close": 87.75,
        "volume": 99330,
        "typical_volume": 121874.6,
        "trend": 82.814753,
        "fair_value": 68.530898,
        "relative_strength": 1.442579,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 62.991564,
        "energy": 55.318386,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
        "close": 88.8558,
        "volume": 111583,
        "typical_volume": 121275.1,
        "trend": 83.111369,
        "fair_value": 68.762934,
        "relative_strength": 0.547674,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
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        "energy": 58.560742,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
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        "typical_volume": 127396.15,
        "trend": 83.434779,
        "fair_value": 68.991346,
        "relative_strength": 0.022823,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
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        "direction": 73.284142,
        "energy": 67.931123,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 88.5256,
        "volume": 146615,
        "typical_volume": 130427.35,
        "trend": 83.723372,
        "fair_value": 69.209764,
        "relative_strength": 0.38345,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 63.141484,
        "energy": 60.23963,
        "activity_lines": [
          88.784569,
          88.444545,
          86.802481,
          85.343582
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 88.3134,
        "volume": 268495,
        "typical_volume": 138682.0,
        "trend": 83.972081,
        "fair_value": 69.424522,
        "relative_strength": 0.72702,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 61.017022,
        "energy": 53.447773,
        "activity_lines": [
          88.660067,
          88.489056,
          87.143511,
          85.639713
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 88.99,
        "volume": 103406,
        "typical_volume": 136350.45,
        "trend": 84.264314,
        "fair_value": 69.650394,
        "relative_strength": 0.39669,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 62.837935,
        "energy": 51.84502,
        "activity_lines": [
          88.787747,
          88.616851,
          87.510535,
          85.963449
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 91.68,
        "volume": 144772,
        "typical_volume": 138793.55,
        "trend": 84.593481,
        "fair_value": 69.894379,
        "relative_strength": -0.083234,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 83.356751,
        "energy": 62.091899,
        "activity_lines": [
          89.729427,
          89.203784,
          88.08532,
          86.441881
        ]
      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}