{ "ticker": { "uuid": "09754a5e-9bf8-4961-b720-61e0cc711120", "symbol": "HUDL", "name": "Huddlestock Fintech AS", "exchange": "OSL", "country": "NO", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "OSEBX.OL", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 69.795, "architecture_regime": "balance", "architecture_regime_label": "Balance", "architecture_modifier": "Balance after decline", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -5.701, "architecture_energy": 12.245, "architecture_maturity": 13.059, "architecture_confidence": 68.508, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "Directional pressure has compressed into balance.", "body": "Trend and Activity are compressed into balance, so neither side has durable control. Prior structure and the next directional change provide context; balance alone is not assumed to be a base." }, "scores": { "balance": 64.27, "rotation_up": 37.75, "upward_expansion": 34.3, "deceleration": 39.75, "rotation_down": 20.07, "downward_expansion": 42.64 }, "activity_lines": [ 0.564, 0.549455, 0.545419, 0.552138 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 0.333333 }, "latest_close": 0.572, "trend_reference": 0.568533, "distance_from_trend": 0.006098, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 0.806963, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.291169, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -18.251451, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": -0.068404, "excess_performance": -0.193398, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.006098, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.065936, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.291169, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.103634, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.182515, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.121487, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.068404, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.533783, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 1031285, "relative_activity": 0.974483, "balance": 0.533783, "dry_up": 1.284357, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 3 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.098171, "annualized_volatility": 0.428871, "from_high_reference": -0.361607, "from_low_reference": 0.217021 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 0.568533, "fair_value_reference": 0.806963, "structural_low": 0.47, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 13, "median_return": -0.091304, "positive_rate": 0.230769, "directional_follow_through": 0.230769, "median_excess_return": -0.082441, "regime_survival": 0.615385, "best_return": 0.319588, "worst_return": -0.137845, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": -0.2, "positive_rate": 0.2, "directional_follow_through": 0.2, "median_excess_return": -0.147764, "regime_survival": 0.2, "best_return": 0.549828, "worst_return": -0.323308, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": -0.230815, "positive_rate": 0.25, "directional_follow_through": 0.25, "median_excess_return": -0.252306, "regime_survival": 0.25, "best_return": 0.206186, "worst_return": -0.373434, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", "sample_count": 2, "median_return": -0.151908, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.254437, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": 0.106529, "worst_return": -0.410345, "sufficient": false } ], "ledger": [ { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2022-09-30", "end": "2022-12-09", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.068966, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2022-12-16", "end": "2023-01-20", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.117647, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2023-01-27", "end": "2023-02-24", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.008403, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2023-03-03", "end": "2023-05-05", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.129921, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2023-05-12", "end": "2025-01-24", "tenure": "Extended", "return": -0.721461, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2025-01-31", "end": "2025-02-07", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.271478, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_up", "label": "Rotation Up", "color": "teal", "start": "2025-02-14", "end": "2025-03-07", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.221122, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2025-03-14", "end": "2025-05-09", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.311828, "active": false }, { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2025-05-16", "end": "2025-07-04", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.182418, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_down", "label": "Rotation Down", "color": "orange", "start": "2025-07-11", "end": "2025-08-08", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.060109, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2025-08-15", "end": "2025-12-19", "tenure": "Established", "return": -0.08871, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2025-12-26", "end": "2026-03-06", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.320802, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2026-03-13", "end": "2026-07-24", "tenure": "Established", "return": 0.052045, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2026-07-31", "end": "2026-08-07", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.030508, "active": true } ], "chart_path": [ { "date": "2023-08-18", "close": 1.6, "volume": 944984, "typical_volume": 1026286.5, "trend": 2.102333, "fair_value": 3.413559, "relative_strength": -32.013718, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": 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-57.047051, "energy": 31.698159, "activity_lines": [ 0.522267, 0.522691, 0.537438, 0.552181 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 0.566, "volume": 1470265, "typical_volume": 952165.35, "trend": 0.5752, "fair_value": 0.820892, "relative_strength": -19.647256, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -25.392366, "energy": 12.69405, "activity_lines": [ 0.536, 0.530582, 0.539305, 0.551088 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 0.59, "volume": 2203942, "typical_volume": 1040483.55, "trend": 0.570533, "fair_value": 0.814097, "relative_strength": -16.01089, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "down", "direction": -10.643728, "energy": 10.316125, "activity_lines": [ 0.556, 0.542364, 0.543343, 0.552043 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 0.572, "volume": 1031285, "typical_volume": 1058289.05, "trend": 0.568533, "fair_value": 0.806963, "relative_strength": -18.251451, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "down", "direction": -5.700667, "energy": 12.245469, "activity_lines": [ 0.564, 0.549455, 0.545419, 0.552138 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }