{ "ticker": { "uuid": "097c9fa6-b68a-41a1-b982-5f035f61d080", "symbol": "ARHS", "name": "Arhaus Inc", "exchange": "NASDAQ", "country": "US", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "QQQ", "stage": 1, "stage_name": "Basing", "phase": "1c", "phase_label": "Stage 1C \u00b7 Breakout watch", "transition": "stage_1_to_2_watch", "transition_label": "Stage 1 \u2192 2 watch", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "balance", "architecture_regime_label": "Balance", "architecture_modifier": "Balance after decline", "architecture_gate": "mixed", "architecture_direction": 49.429, "architecture_energy": 33.783, "architecture_maturity": 30.936, "architecture_confidence": 56.16, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "Directional pressure has compressed into balance.", "body": "Trend and Activity are compressed into balance, so neither side has durable control. Prior structure and the next directional change provide context; balance alone is not assumed to be a base." }, "scores": { "balance": 38.72, "rotation_up": 52.63, "upward_expansion": 44.85, "deceleration": 45.16, "rotation_down": 22.19, "downward_expansion": 10.18 }, "activity_lines": [ 8.307333, 8.111818, 7.615833, 7.531495 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 0.333333 }, "latest_close": 9.6, "trend_reference": 7.766512, "distance_from_trend": 0.236076, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 10.090466, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.048607, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -6.034513, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": -0.092621, "excess_performance": -0.280074, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.236076, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.088088, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.048607, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.314325, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.060345, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.34772, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.092621, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.941398, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 14906451, "relative_activity": 2.264161, "balance": 1.941398, "dry_up": 1.116006, "accumulation_observations": 5, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.105489, "annualized_volatility": 0.717195, "from_high_reference": -0.221043, "from_low_reference": 0.723519 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 7.766512, "fair_value_reference": 10.090466, "structural_low": 5.57, "invalidation": "A renewed decline below the structural range low, widening the discount to current Fair Value while Trend falls, weakens the base diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 7, "median_return": 0.018399, "positive_rate": 0.571429, "directional_follow_through": 0.571429, "median_excess_return": -0.004145, "regime_survival": 0.285714, "best_return": 0.302204, "worst_return": -0.225132, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": 0.077701, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.006157, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.590182, "worst_return": -0.346826, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 3, "median_return": 0.234727, "positive_rate": 0.666667, "directional_follow_through": 0.666667, "median_excess_return": 0.06036, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 1.172645, "worst_return": -0.307962, 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"date": "2026-08-07", "close": 9.6, "volume": 14906451, "typical_volume": 6583651.85, "trend": 7.766512, "fair_value": 10.090466, "relative_strength": -6.034513, "stage": 1, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 49.428963, "energy": 33.783238, "activity_lines": [ 8.307333, 8.111818, 7.615833, 7.531495 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }