{ "ticker": { "uuid": "097fdd4e-5ec8-4a63-b054-68a4f5c36752", "symbol": "MTEK", "name": "Maris Tech Ltd", "exchange": "NASDAQ", "country": "US", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "QQQ", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 94.891, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -53.174, "architecture_energy": 35.212, "architecture_maturity": 35.453, "architecture_confidence": 96, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 25.14, "rotation_up": 22.33, "upward_expansion": 4.11, "deceleration": 51.06, "rotation_down": 46.24, "downward_expansion": 75.11 }, "activity_lines": [ 1.091, 1.099273, 1.161095, 1.244989 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.5 }, "latest_close": 1.175, "trend_reference": 1.3645, "distance_from_trend": -0.138879, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 1.81194, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.351524, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -38.237377, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": -0.283537, "excess_performance": -0.47099, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.138879, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.038407, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.351524, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.002156, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.382374, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.153278, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.283537, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.09796, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 168888, "relative_activity": 0.092576, "balance": 0.09796, "dry_up": 0.112849, "accumulation_observations": 0, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.174108, "annualized_volatility": 0.711621, "from_high_reference": -0.724824, "from_low_reference": 0.249867 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 1.3645, "fair_value_reference": 1.81194, "structural_low": 0.9401, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 8, "median_return": 0.085234, "positive_rate": 0.875, "directional_follow_through": 0.125, "median_excess_return": 0.081765, "regime_survival": 0.75, "best_return": 0.220202, "worst_return": -0.096, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 2, "median_return": 0.264103, "positive_rate": 1.0, "directional_follow_through": 0.0, "median_excess_return": 0.179799, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.385965, "worst_return": 0.142241, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 2, "median_return": -0.217748, "positive_rate": 0.0, "directional_follow_through": 1.0, "median_excess_return": -0.426944, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": -0.008772, "worst_return": -0.426724, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", "sample_count": 1, 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1.391333, "fair_value": 1.811171, "relative_strength": -46.801586, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -54.138038, "energy": 46.183732, "activity_lines": [ 1.127333, 1.169091, 1.243667, 1.326108 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 1.0, "volume": 117753, "typical_volume": 4060855.85, "trend": 1.382333, "fair_value": 1.810978, "relative_strength": -49.302834, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -64.466908, "energy": 60.057129, "activity_lines": [ 1.074, 1.134909, 1.211714, 1.30086 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 1.0, "volume": 237856, "typical_volume": 1975852.9, "trend": 1.375, "fair_value": 1.810754, "relative_strength": -46.891544, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -63.60361, "energy": 64.025927, "activity_lines": [ 1.037333, 1.103818, 1.183143, 1.276194 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 1.09, "volume": 298991, "typical_volume": 1898796.9, "trend": 1.373667, "fair_value": 1.810946, "relative_strength": -41.080913, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -57.277773, "energy": 49.934367, "activity_lines": [ 1.046667, 1.091455, 1.167, 1.257806 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 1.175, "volume": 168888, "typical_volume": 1824312.0, "trend": 1.3645, "fair_value": 1.81194, "relative_strength": -38.237377, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -53.174231, "energy": 35.212245, "activity_lines": [ 1.091, 1.099273, 1.161095, 1.244989 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }