{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "0986bbf1-ef67-4546-9736-83f57f7c2b19",
    "symbol": "UB00",
    "name": "UBS Core EURO STOXX 50 UCITS ETF EUR dis",
    "exchange": "LSE",
    "country": "GB",
    "assetType": "etf"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^FTSE",
    "stage": 2,
    "stage_name": "Advancing",
    "phase": "2b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing",
    "transition": "stage_2_healthy",
    "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 84.544,
    "architecture_energy": 68.477,
    "architecture_maturity": 38.228,
    "architecture_confidence": 79.613,
    "architecture_tenure": "Developing",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 12.42,
        "rotation_up": 60.78,
        "upward_expansion": 82.53,
        "deceleration": 62.51,
        "rotation_down": 23.25,
        "downward_expansion": 11.53
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        65.264332,
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        62.195198
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      "activity_state": "Wide",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": 0.5
    },
    "latest_close": 66.839996,
    "trend_reference": 61.04793,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.094877,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 51.098044,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.308073,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": 4.695847,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Improving",
    "price_momentum": 0.111904,
    "excess_performance": 0.060669,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.094877,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.039358,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.308073,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.088002,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.046958,
        "read": "Leading"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.043085,
        "read": "Improving"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.111904,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": false,
        "value": 0.543903,
        "read": "Supply-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 7462,
      "relative_activity": 0.710619,
      "balance": 0.543903,
      "dry_up": 0.404878,
      "accumulation_observations": 1,
      "distribution_observations": 2
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.021725,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.168892,
      "from_high_reference": -0.002686,
      "from_low_reference": 0.264722
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 61.04793,
      "fair_value_reference": 51.098044,
      "structural_low": 54.490002,
      "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis."
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    "outcomes": [
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        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 41,
        "median_return": 0.00554,
        "positive_rate": 0.585366,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.585366,
        "median_excess_return": -0.002281,
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        "best_return": 0.09508,
        "worst_return": -0.089412,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
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        "worst_return": -0.101188,
        "sufficient": true
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        "horizon": "Extended",
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        "regime_survival": 0.625,
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        "worst_return": -0.164867,
        "sufficient": true
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        "horizon": "Full cycle",
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        "worst_return": -0.108852,
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        "regime": "deceleration",
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        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-01",
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        "typical_volume": 21675.25,
        "trend": 58.126681,
        "fair_value": 49.087664,
        "relative_strength": -1.420789,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
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        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-08",
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        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-15",
        "close": 59.355,
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        "typical_volume": 20664.4,
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        "fair_value": 49.330695,
        "relative_strength": -0.277417,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
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        "energy": 38.553273,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-22",
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        "typical_volume": 21595.15,
        "trend": 58.555696,
        "fair_value": 49.464248,
        "relative_strength": 0.718494,
        "stage": 2,
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        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "gate": "up",
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        "energy": 44.697429,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-29",
        "close": 62.02,
        "volume": 1273,
        "typical_volume": 19607.15,
        "trend": 58.736164,
        "fair_value": 49.601486,
        "relative_strength": 2.162745,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
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        "direction": 69.677957,
        "energy": 53.886344,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-05",
        "close": 61.994999,
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        "typical_volume": 18376.6,
        "trend": 58.947095,
        "fair_value": 49.740864,
        "relative_strength": 2.573766,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 68.38159,
        "energy": 64.203116,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-12",
        "close": 63.060001,
        "volume": 1517,
        "typical_volume": 18020.95,
        "trend": 59.150307,
        "fair_value": 49.880224,
        "relative_strength": 3.279191,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 76.68406,
        "energy": 77.921622,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-19",
        "close": 64.330002,
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        "trend": 59.455464,
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        "relative_strength": 6.365739,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
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        "direction": 82.594744,
        "energy": 85.403407,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-26",
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        "typical_volume": 15129.95,
        "trend": 59.684296,
        "fair_value": 50.177632,
        "relative_strength": 3.717194,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 71.408936,
        "energy": 83.200079,
        "activity_lines": [
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          60.912976,
          60.383935
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
        "close": 65.589996,
        "volume": 1,
        "typical_volume": 14401.45,
        "trend": 59.959091,
        "fair_value": 50.342827,
        "relative_strength": 5.176198,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 87.157397,
        "energy": 93.345871,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
        "close": 64.150002,
        "volume": 49780,
        "typical_volume": 14177.95,
        "trend": 60.184727,
        "fair_value": 50.488646,
        "relative_strength": 4.608939,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 67.232394,
        "energy": 85.563324,
        "activity_lines": [
          64.377333,
          63.466727,
          61.794119,
          61.035329
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 63.845001,
        "volume": 4070,
        "typical_volume": 13617.7,
        "trend": 60.38695,
        "fair_value": 50.632745,
        "relative_strength": 3.071156,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 64.801086,
        "energy": 73.623781,
        "activity_lines": [
          64.276334,
          63.699364,
          62.110929,
          61.271476
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 64.254997,
        "volume": 2059,
        "typical_volume": 12447.0,
        "trend": 60.607807,
        "fair_value": 50.774707,
        "relative_strength": 2.379431,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 63.044575,
        "energy": 60.744038,
        "activity_lines": [
          64.259666,
          63.937454,
          62.456167,
          61.521027
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 65.040001,
        "volume": 3415,
        "typical_volume": 11105.15,
        "trend": 60.822541,
        "fair_value": 50.930219,
        "relative_strength": 2.273915,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 69.89541,
        "energy": 57.552404,
        "activity_lines": [
          64.509666,
          64.229182,
          62.845929,
          61.806975
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 66.839996,
        "volume": 7462,
        "typical_volume": 10500.7,
        "trend": 61.04793,
        "fair_value": 51.098044,
        "relative_strength": 4.695847,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 84.544248,
        "energy": 68.477437,
        "activity_lines": [
          65.264332,
          64.783817,
          63.370523,
          62.195198
        ]
      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}