{ "ticker": { "uuid": "09976e39-da54-4458-a59f-72e8857ba0ab", "symbol": "DGCB", "name": "DIMENSIONAL GLOBAL CREDIT ETF", "exchange": "NASDAQ", "country": "US", "assetType": "etf" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "QQQ", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4c", "phase_label": "Stage 4C \u00b7 Repair watch", "transition": "stage_4_to_1_watch", "transition_label": "Stage 4 \u2192 1 repair watch", "confidence": 50.22, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -60.312, "architecture_energy": 62.429, "architecture_maturity": 6.725, "architecture_confidence": 86.212, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 18.81, "rotation_up": 10.82, "upward_expansion": 13.53, "deceleration": 37.99, "rotation_down": 69.75, "downward_expansion": 89.2 }, "activity_lines": [ 53.412254, 53.593507, 53.805705, 53.908461 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.833333 }, "latest_close": 53.58, "trend_reference": 54.069817, "distance_from_trend": -0.009059, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 51.52595, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.039864, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -13.341338, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": -0.017746, "excess_performance": -0.2052, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.009059, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.001321, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.039864, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.016906, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.133413, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.026029, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.017746, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.915425, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 462276, "relative_activity": 0.867083, "balance": 0.915425, "dry_up": 1.057596, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 3 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.009866, "annualized_volatility": 0.050992, "from_high_reference": -0.027688, "from_low_reference": 0.017244 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 54.069817, "fair_value_reference": 51.52595, "structural_low": 52.98, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 0, "median_return": null, "positive_rate": null, "directional_follow_through": null, "median_excess_return": null, "regime_survival": null, "best_return": null, "worst_return": null, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 0, "median_return": null, "positive_rate": null, "directional_follow_through": null, "median_excess_return": null, "regime_survival": null, "best_return": null, "worst_return": null, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 0, "median_return": null, "positive_rate": null, "directional_follow_through": null, "median_excess_return": null, "regime_survival": null, "best_return": null, "worst_return": null, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", "sample_count": 0, "median_return": null, "positive_rate": null, 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53.997781 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 53.244, "volume": 728609, "typical_volume": 532276.4, "trend": 54.092125, "fair_value": 51.511586, "relative_strength": -9.867823, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -69.551834, "energy": 70.84777, "activity_lines": [ 53.388524, 53.641265, 53.836565, 53.941501 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 53.58, "volume": 462276, "typical_volume": 533139.15, "trend": 54.069817, "fair_value": 51.52595, "relative_strength": -13.341338, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -60.312055, "energy": 62.428875, "activity_lines": [ 53.412254, 53.593507, 53.805705, 53.908461 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }