{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "099e6a30-d10c-42d1-9c32-b8db4e5385ca",
    "symbol": "VMI",
    "name": "Valmont Industries Inc",
    "exchange": "NYSE",
    "country": "US",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "SPY",
    "stage": 2,
    "stage_name": "Advancing",
    "phase": "2b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing",
    "transition": "stage_2_healthy",
    "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact",
    "confidence": 57.167,
    "architecture_regime": "deceleration",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration",
    "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 13.408,
    "architecture_energy": 23.54,
    "architecture_maturity": 61.112,
    "architecture_confidence": 92.725,
    "architecture_tenure": "New",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.",
        "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 52.41,
        "rotation_up": 15.31,
        "upward_expansion": 52.02,
        "deceleration": 93.94,
        "rotation_down": 46.96,
        "downward_expansion": 25.02
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        497.575333,
        519.075755,
        517.976879,
        500.482048
      ],
      "activity_state": "Compressed",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": -0.5
    },
    "latest_close": 493.64,
    "trend_reference": 480.940573,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.026405,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 330.746239,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.492504,
    "fair_value_direction": "Weakening",
    "relative_strength": -0.678744,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening",
    "price_momentum": 0.044185,
    "excess_performance": -0.08144,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.026405,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.09239,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.492504,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.155769,
        "read": "Moving away"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.006787,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.154493,
        "read": "Weakening"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.044185,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": false,
        "value": 0.78926,
        "read": "Supply-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 810155,
      "relative_activity": 0.736444,
      "balance": 0.78926,
      "dry_up": 1.023878,
      "accumulation_observations": 3,
      "distribution_observations": 4
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.07873,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.360357,
      "from_high_reference": -0.156053,
      "from_low_reference": 0.377055
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 480.940573,
      "fair_value_reference": 330.746239,
      "structural_low": 379.28,
      "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 10,
        "median_return": 0.023701,
        "positive_rate": 0.6,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.6,
        "median_excess_return": 0.011322,
        "regime_survival": 0.3,
        "best_return": 0.17951,
        "worst_return": -0.064775,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 7,
        "median_return": 0.039282,
        "positive_rate": 0.571429,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.571429,
        "median_excess_return": 0.030656,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.455908,
        "worst_return": -0.102003,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 4,
        "median_return": 0.114548,
        "positive_rate": 0.75,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.75,
        "median_excess_return": -0.00216,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.198378,
        "worst_return": -0.233237,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 3,
        "median_return": -0.015114,
        "positive_rate": 0.333333,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.333333,
        "median_excess_return": 0.079745,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.372637,
        "worst_return": -0.098526,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
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        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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        "color": "green",
        "start": "2024-10-11",
        "end": "2024-12-20",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.023443,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
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        "end": "2025-01-31",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.082273,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
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        "end": "2025-03-14",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.001493,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
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        "end": "2025-03-28",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.016602,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
        "color": "orange",
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        "end": "2025-04-18",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.047309,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2025-04-25",
        "end": "2025-05-16",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.111312,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
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        "end": "2025-06-27",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.070665,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
        "color": "teal",
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        "end": "2025-07-11",
        "tenure": "New",
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        "active": false
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      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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        "return": 0.224551,
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      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
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        "active": false
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      {
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        "active": false
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      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
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        "active": false
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        "active": true
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      },
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        "date": "2026-04-17",
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      },
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        "date": "2026-05-22",
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      },
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        "date": "2026-06-05",
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      },
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
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        "energy": 45.073316,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 486.16,
        "volume": 1600390,
        "typical_volume": 1086927.3,
        "trend": 476.284197,
        "fair_value": 327.627017,
        "relative_strength": 2.736254,
        "stage": 2,
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        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 28.941747,
        "energy": 19.38341,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 481.7,
        "volume": 1326492,
        "typical_volume": 1116299.0,
        "trend": 478.644098,
        "fair_value": 329.122942,
        "relative_strength": 0.494169,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 13.409661,
        "energy": 21.002975,
        "activity_lines": [
          506.475333,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 493.64,
        "volume": 810155,
        "typical_volume": 1100090.05,
        "trend": 480.940573,
        "fair_value": 330.746239,
        "relative_strength": -0.678744,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 13.407974,
        "energy": 23.539844,
        "activity_lines": [
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}