{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "09aef5a2-f7ce-4c5a-9e2e-aff9658825bd",
    "symbol": "200011",
    "name": "ShenZhen Properties & Resources Development (Group) Ltd.",
    "exchange": "SHZ",
    "country": "CN",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "399001.SZ",
    "stage": 4,
    "stage_name": "Declining",
    "phase": "4b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining",
    "transition": "stage_4_declining",
    "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction",
    "architecture_gate": "down",
    "architecture_direction": -56.952,
    "architecture_energy": 43.307,
    "architecture_maturity": 100.0,
    "architecture_confidence": 74.921,
    "architecture_tenure": "Established",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 21.02,
        "rotation_up": 28.61,
        "upward_expansion": 11.29,
        "deceleration": 60.79,
        "rotation_down": 42.71,
        "downward_expansion": 73.29
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        2.451333,
        2.451663,
        2.508338,
        2.631074
      ],
      "activity_state": "Moderate",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Improving",
      "price_acceptance": -0.5
    },
    "latest_close": 2.48,
    "trend_reference": 2.808362,
    "distance_from_trend": -0.116923,
    "trend_direction": "Weakening",
    "fair_value": 3.384609,
    "distance_from_fair_value": -0.267271,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": -21.711016,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Improving",
    "price_momentum": -0.243902,
    "excess_performance": -0.251302,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.116923,
        "read": "Below"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.09715,
        "read": "Falling"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.267271,
        "read": "Below anchor"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.016586,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.21711,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.128067,
        "read": "Improving"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.243902,
        "read": "Negative"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 1.26229,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 343770,
      "relative_activity": 0.951423,
      "balance": 1.26229,
      "dry_up": 1.655129,
      "accumulation_observations": 2,
      "distribution_observations": 2
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.058246,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.236759,
      "from_high_reference": -0.32973,
      "from_low_reference": 0.13242
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 2.808362,
      "fair_value_reference": 3.384609,
      "structural_low": 2.19,
      "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 25,
        "median_return": 0.005128,
        "positive_rate": 0.52,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.48,
        "median_excess_return": -0.006448,
        "regime_survival": 0.88,
        "best_return": 0.136986,
        "worst_return": -0.140984,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 8,
        "median_return": -0.03331,
        "positive_rate": 0.375,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.625,
        "median_excess_return": -0.026008,
        "regime_survival": 0.625,
        "best_return": 0.228464,
        "worst_return": -0.223837,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 4,
        "median_return": -0.043111,
        "positive_rate": 0.0,
        "directional_follow_through": 1.0,
        "median_excess_return": -0.052237,
        "regime_survival": 0.25,
        "best_return": -0.002475,
        "worst_return": -0.139192,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 3,
        "median_return": -0.075581,
        "positive_rate": 0.333333,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.666667,
        "median_excess_return": -0.159153,
        "regime_survival": 0.666667,
        "best_return": 0.210613,
        "worst_return": -0.256697,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
    "ledger": [
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        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2023-05-19",
        "end": "2024-04-05",
        "tenure": "Extended",
        "return": -0.156238,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2024-04-12",
        "end": "2024-05-31",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.022843,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
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        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.021159,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
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        "end": "2024-09-06",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.02507,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
        "color": "orange",
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        "end": "2024-09-27",
        "tenure": "New",
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        "active": false
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      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
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      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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        "return": -0.007444,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
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        "end": "2025-01-17",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.067839,
        "active": false
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      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
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        "return": -0.028653,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
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        "tenure": "Established",
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        "date": "2026-07-17",
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        "direction": -82.267897,
        "energy": 80.733705,
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          2.38,
          2.447422,
          2.559922,
          2.702929
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 2.52,
        "volume": 750174,
        "typical_volume": 328951.2,
        "trend": 2.862695,
        "fair_value": 3.404556,
        "relative_strength": -18.655331,
        "stage": 4,
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        "direction": -63.558552,
        "energy": 58.105919,
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          2.41,
          2.453673,
          2.542394,
          2.6794
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 2.47,
        "volume": 1106834,
        "typical_volume": 367549.95,
        "trend": 2.836362,
        "fair_value": 3.394727,
        "relative_strength": -18.528266,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -61.733853,
        "energy": 52.568697,
        "activity_lines": [
          2.429333,
          2.450967,
          2.523247,
          2.654065
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 2.48,
        "volume": 343770,
        "typical_volume": 361321.95,
        "trend": 2.808362,
        "fair_value": 3.384609,
        "relative_strength": -21.711016,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -56.951909,
        "energy": 43.307489,
        "activity_lines": [
          2.451333,
          2.451663,
          2.508338,
          2.631074
        ]
      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}