{ "ticker": { "uuid": "09ba8f22-30ef-4506-91ce-e8ed4c9dbfda", "symbol": "HYFT", "name": "ImmunoPrecise Antibodies Ltd.", "exchange": "NASDAQ", "country": "US", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "QQQ", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4a", "phase_label": "Stage 4A \u00b7 Breakdown", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "balance", "architecture_regime_label": "Balance", "architecture_modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "architecture_gate": "mixed", "architecture_direction": -23.897, "architecture_energy": 20.236, "architecture_maturity": 18.843, "architecture_confidence": 62.808, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "Directional pressure has compressed into balance.", "body": "Trend and Activity are compressed into balance, so neither side has durable control. Prior structure and the next directional change provide context; balance alone is not assumed to be a base." }, "scores": { "balance": 52.5, "rotation_up": 18.53, "upward_expansion": 7.79, "deceleration": 57.54, "rotation_down": 54.98, "downward_expansion": 47.12 }, "activity_lines": [ 1.342667, 1.417273, 1.439476, 1.40172 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.666667 }, "latest_close": 1.31, "trend_reference": 1.420333, "distance_from_trend": -0.077681, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 1.258395, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.041009, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -30.848236, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": -0.165605, "excess_performance": -0.353059, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.077681, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.090696, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.041009, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.113776, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.308482, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.013686, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.165605, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.876478, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 704107, "relative_activity": 0.481058, "balance": 0.876478, "dry_up": 0.845757, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 3 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.22552, "annualized_volatility": 0.762257, "from_high_reference": -0.596414, "from_low_reference": 0.323232 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 1.420333, "fair_value_reference": 1.258395, "structural_low": 0.99, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 18, "median_return": -0.055854, "positive_rate": 0.388889, "directional_follow_through": 0.388889, "median_excess_return": -0.059538, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": 0.497884, "worst_return": -0.330269, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 8, "median_return": -0.180447, "positive_rate": 0.375, "directional_follow_through": 0.375, "median_excess_return": -0.150542, "regime_survival": 0.125, "best_return": 3.455335, "worst_return": -0.46833, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": -0.197306, "positive_rate": 0.333333, "directional_follow_through": 0.333333, "median_excess_return": -0.307956, "regime_survival": 0.333333, "best_return": 2.746748, "worst_return": -0.459119, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": -0.405718, "positive_rate": 0.25, "directional_follow_through": 0.25, "median_excess_return": -0.469482, "regime_survival": 0.25, "best_return": 2.937554, "worst_return": -0.637421, "sufficient": false } ], "ledger": [ { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2024-03-22", "end": "2024-04-12", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.133758, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_down", "label": "Rotation Down", "color": "orange", "start": "2024-04-19", "end": "2024-05-10", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.02381, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2024-05-17", "end": "2025-01-17", "tenure": "Extended", "return": -0.550763, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2025-01-24", "end": "2025-02-28", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.404683, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2025-03-07", "end": "2025-05-02", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.171771, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2025-05-09", "end": "2025-05-23", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.241034, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2025-05-30", "end": "2025-09-19", "tenure": "Established", "return": 2.035088, "active": false }, { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2025-09-26", "end": "2026-01-09", "tenure": "Established", "return": 0.511111, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2026-01-16", "end": "2026-01-30", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.217391, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2026-02-06", "end": "2026-02-20", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.165605, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2026-02-27", "end": "2026-05-22", "tenure": "Established", "return": 0.513274, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2026-05-29", "end": "2026-06-05", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.045455, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_up", "label": "Rotation Up", "color": "teal", "start": "2026-06-12", "end": "2026-07-03", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.00641, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2026-07-10", "end": "2026-08-07", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.083916, "active": true } ], "chart_path": [ { "date": "2023-08-18", "close": 2.1, "volume": 282611, "typical_volume": 339326.95, "trend": 3.177547, "fair_value": 6.368214, "relative_strength": -56.052068, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": 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"fair_value": 1.28729, "relative_strength": -27.748394, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 5.378758, "energy": 5.915743, "activity_lines": [ 1.519333, 1.552, 1.444143, 1.437333 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 1.46, "volume": 888566, "typical_volume": 1700314.9, "trend": 1.503, "fair_value": 1.279292, "relative_strength": -22.487709, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 3.009129, "energy": 5.843169, "activity_lines": [ 1.494667, 1.539636, 1.45481, 1.434108 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 1.36, "volume": 2286919, "typical_volume": 1595940.65, "trend": 1.491667, "fair_value": 1.271215, "relative_strength": -25.654214, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -8.213483, "energy": 9.941275, "activity_lines": [ 1.443333, 1.505636, 1.454381, 1.424882 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 1.29, "volume": 1072024, "typical_volume": 1467581.5, "trend": 1.467333, "fair_value": 1.264933, "relative_strength": -29.308515, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "down", "direction": -34.270396, "energy": 22.678075, "activity_lines": [ 1.38, 1.455818, 1.446095, 1.411871 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 1.31, "volume": 704107, "typical_volume": 1463663.3, "trend": 1.420333, "fair_value": 1.258395, "relative_strength": -30.848236, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -23.897371, "energy": 20.236402, "activity_lines": [ 1.342667, 1.417273, 1.439476, 1.40172 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }