{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "09c5bddf-ba5a-4620-94a1-72ef731d17ce",
    "symbol": "BIG1",
    "name": "Bio-Gate AG",
    "exchange": "GER",
    "country": "DE",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^GDAXI",
    "stage": 4,
    "stage_name": "Declining",
    "phase": "4b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining",
    "transition": "stage_4_declining",
    "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "balance",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Balance",
    "architecture_modifier": "Upper balance after advance",
    "architecture_gate": "down",
    "architecture_direction": -40.108,
    "architecture_energy": 17.667,
    "architecture_maturity": 29.863,
    "architecture_confidence": 69.288,
    "architecture_tenure": "Developing",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "Directional pressure has compressed into balance.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity are compressed into balance, so neither side has durable control. Prior structure and the next directional change provide context; balance alone is not assumed to be a base."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 48.51,
        "rotation_up": 23.05,
        "upward_expansion": 16.32,
        "deceleration": 52.99,
        "rotation_down": 41.28,
        "downward_expansion": 61.65
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        3.078333,
        3.084091,
        3.202857,
        3.189624
      ],
      "activity_state": "Compressed",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Stable",
      "price_acceptance": -0.166667
    },
    "latest_close": 2.9,
    "trend_reference": 3.2225,
    "distance_from_trend": -0.100078,
    "trend_direction": "Weakening",
    "fair_value": 4.307051,
    "distance_from_fair_value": -0.326686,
    "fair_value_direction": "Weakening",
    "relative_strength": -27.729165,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening",
    "price_momentum": -0.107692,
    "excess_performance": -0.172332,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.100078,
        "read": "Below"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.10007,
        "read": "Falling"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.326686,
        "read": "Below anchor"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.148468,
        "read": "Moving away"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.277292,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.208949,
        "read": "Weakening"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.107692,
        "read": "Negative"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 1.304212,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 2631,
      "relative_activity": 0.845125,
      "balance": 1.304212,
      "dry_up": 1.599666,
      "accumulation_observations": 3,
      "distribution_observations": 1
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.203581,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.603929,
      "from_high_reference": -0.414141,
      "from_low_reference": 0.16
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 3.2225,
      "fair_value_reference": 4.307051,
      "structural_low": 2.5,
      "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 22,
        "median_return": -0.011762,
        "positive_rate": 0.363636,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.363636,
        "median_excess_return": -0.037336,
        "regime_survival": 0.727273,
        "best_return": 0.213483,
        "worst_return": -0.144654,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 7,
        "median_return": -0.116564,
        "positive_rate": 0.285714,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.285714,
        "median_excess_return": -0.099618,
        "regime_survival": 0.285714,
        "best_return": 0.263889,
        "worst_return": -0.2,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 5,
        "median_return": -0.259434,
        "positive_rate": 0.2,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.2,
        "median_excess_return": -0.258204,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.116564,
        "worst_return": -0.305,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 4,
        "median_return": -0.260267,
        "positive_rate": 0.0,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.0,
        "median_excess_return": -0.348409,
        "regime_survival": 0.5,
        "best_return": -0.055215,
        "worst_return": -0.676101,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
    "ledger": [
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2023-01-13",
        "end": "2023-11-24",
        "tenure": "Extended",
        "return": -0.581301,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2023-12-01",
        "end": "2024-03-15",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": 0.135922,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2024-03-22",
        "end": "2024-04-12",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.119658,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2024-04-19",
        "end": "2024-05-24",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.150485,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2024-05-31",
        "end": "2024-06-21",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.01,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2024-06-28",
        "end": "2024-08-30",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.15566,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2024-09-06",
        "end": "2025-01-24",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": -0.136364,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2025-01-31",
        "end": "2025-05-30",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": 0.239264,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2025-06-06",
        "end": "2025-08-08",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.12381,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2025-08-15",
        "end": "2025-10-17",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.13089,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
        "color": "orange",
        "start": "2025-10-24",
        "end": "2025-11-14",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.060241,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2025-11-21",
        "end": "2026-05-15",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": -0.064706,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
        "color": "teal",
        "start": "2026-05-22",
        "end": "2026-06-05",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.09396,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2026-06-12",
        "end": "2026-08-07",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.064516,
        "active": true
      }
    ],
    "chart_path": [
      {
        "date": "2023-08-18",
        "close": 5.7,
        "volume": 1381,
        "typical_volume": 1435.95,
        "trend": 9.716667,
        "fair_value": 13.557051,
        "relative_strength": -56.199623,
        "stage": 4,
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        "energy": 93.024986,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2023-08-25",
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      },
      {
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      },
      {
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      },
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        "date": "2023-09-15",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2023-09-22",
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          3.215,
          3.104545,
          3.155357,
          3.370914
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-08",
        "close": 3.85,
        "volume": 4988,
        "typical_volume": 3184.65,
        "trend": 3.6225,
        "fair_value": 4.684936,
        "relative_strength": -6.834293,
        "stage": 1,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": 3.204756,
        "energy": 10.795692,
        "activity_lines": [
          3.435,
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          3.202738,
          3.385054
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-15",
        "close": 3.975,
        "volume": 4159,
        "typical_volume": 3340.95,
        "trend": 3.616667,
        "fair_value": 4.659455,
        "relative_strength": -2.492344,
        "stage": 1,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established contraction",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 26.678851,
        "energy": 27.136704,
        "activity_lines": [
          3.653333,
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          3.263214,
          3.407796
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-22",
        "close": 3.725,
        "volume": 2846,
        "typical_volume": 3446.75,
        "trend": 3.6025,
        "fair_value": 4.624359,
        "relative_strength": -11.757046,
        "stage": 1,
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "modifier": "Structural repair",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 17.091204,
        "energy": 29.824798,
        "activity_lines": [
          3.738333,
          3.505,
          3.300357,
          3.414785
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-29",
        "close": 3.25,
        "volume": 1229,
        "typical_volume": 3466.75,
        "trend": 3.580833,
        "fair_value": 4.590705,
        "relative_strength": -22.965024,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "modifier": "Emerging rotation",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 10.603788,
        "energy": 23.19792,
        "activity_lines": [
          3.621667,
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          3.293095,
          3.392043
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-05",
        "close": 3.375,
        "volume": 207,
        "typical_volume": 3397.0,
        "trend": 3.565,
        "fair_value": 4.556571,
        "relative_strength": -18.138761,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "modifier": "Emerging rotation",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -7.774596,
        "energy": 11.454041,
        "activity_lines": [
          3.523333,
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          3.378763
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-12",
        "close": 3.1,
        "volume": 1811,
        "typical_volume": 3392.15,
        "trend": 3.538333,
        "fair_value": 4.525481,
        "relative_strength": -23.72294,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Upper balance after advance",
        "gate": "down",
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        "energy": 18.40244,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-19",
        "close": 3.15,
        "volume": 816,
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        "trend": 3.501667,
        "fair_value": 4.493429,
        "relative_strength": -22.78743,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Upper balance after advance",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -37.266824,
        "energy": 24.462736,
        "activity_lines": [
          3.233333,
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          3.282857,
          3.32371
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-26",
        "close": 2.95,
        "volume": 527,
        "typical_volume": 2641.95,
        "trend": 3.440833,
        "fair_value": 4.461058,
        "relative_strength": -26.051538,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Upper balance after advance",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -45.887414,
        "energy": 29.265999,
        "activity_lines": [
          3.11,
          3.306364,
          3.261786,
          3.288118
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
        "close": 2.975,
        "volume": 1419,
        "typical_volume": 2657.75,
        "trend": 3.383333,
        "fair_value": 4.431731,
        "relative_strength": -27.962305,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Upper balance after advance",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -54.091825,
        "energy": 32.879328,
        "activity_lines": [
          3.046667,
          3.232273,
          3.244524,
          3.258065
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
        "close": 3.075,
        "volume": 4703,
        "typical_volume": 2516.7,
        "trend": 3.349167,
        "fair_value": 4.402083,
        "relative_strength": -22.611558,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Upper balance after advance",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -49.288991,
        "energy": 32.38429,
        "activity_lines": [
          3.035,
          3.175,
          3.23631,
          3.238172
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 3.4,
        "volume": 2148,
        "typical_volume": 2456.8,
        "trend": 3.325833,
        "fair_value": 4.378045,
        "relative_strength": -12.824391,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Upper balance after advance",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -30.128431,
        "energy": 16.672084,
        "activity_lines": [
          3.151667,
          3.185455,
          3.257857,
          3.241452
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 2.9,
        "volume": 7290,
        "typical_volume": 2677.55,
        "trend": 3.286667,
        "fair_value": 4.350481,
        "relative_strength": -25.591228,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Upper balance after advance",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -43.230134,
        "energy": 21.10611,
        "activity_lines": [
          3.081667,
          3.113182,
          3.228929,
          3.213978
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 3.275,
        "volume": 7851,
        "typical_volume": 2999.95,
        "trend": 3.265833,
        "fair_value": 4.327564,
        "relative_strength": -17.025109,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Upper balance after advance",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -20.463132,
        "energy": 9.279073,
        "activity_lines": [
          3.153333,
          3.128636,
          3.235,
          3.213226
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 2.9,
        "volume": 2631,
        "typical_volume": 3113.15,
        "trend": 3.2225,
        "fair_value": 4.307051,
        "relative_strength": -27.729165,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Upper balance after advance",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -40.108385,
        "energy": 17.667377,
        "activity_lines": [
          3.078333,
          3.084091,
          3.202857,
          3.189624
        ]
      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}