{ "ticker": { "uuid": "09d1dbd1-493e-4258-9b69-b571dd158b3f", "symbol": "WPP", "name": "WPP plc", "exchange": "LSE", "country": "GB", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^FTSE", "stage": 1, "stage_name": "Basing", "phase": "1b", "phase_label": "Stage 1B \u00b7 Basing", "transition": "stage_1_building", "transition_label": "Base still building", "confidence": 86.894, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early expansion", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 93.718, "architecture_energy": 89.888, "architecture_maturity": 22.0, "architecture_confidence": 76.137, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 21.7, "rotation_up": 85.22, "upward_expansion": 94.76, "deceleration": 41.84, "rotation_down": 10.82, "downward_expansion": 21.43 }, "activity_lines": [ 329.246667, 301.249091, 285.501301, 277.695718 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 0.666667 }, "latest_close": 411.4, "trend_reference": 274.585785, "distance_from_trend": 0.498257, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 574.534957, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.283943, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 24.157026, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.536221, "excess_performance": 0.484986, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.498257, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.033565, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.283943, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.273521, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.24157, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.530772, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.536221, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 4.537407, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 46685688, "relative_activity": 2.278439, "balance": 4.537407, "dry_up": 1.387257, "accumulation_observations": 5, "distribution_observations": 0 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.074962, "annualized_volatility": 0.568029, "from_high_reference": 0.0, "from_low_reference": 0.882838 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 274.585785, "fair_value_reference": 574.534957, "structural_low": 218.5, "invalidation": "A renewed decline below the structural range low, widening the discount to current Fair Value while Trend falls, weakens the base diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 14, "median_return": -0.001843, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.005704, "regime_survival": 0.642857, "best_return": 0.105211, "worst_return": -0.112856, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": -0.052377, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.048168, "regime_survival": 0.166667, "best_return": 0.103497, "worst_return": -0.250466, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": -0.093247, "positive_rate": 0.4, "directional_follow_through": 0.4, "median_excess_return": -0.07949, "regime_survival": 0.2, "best_return": 0.205714, "worst_return": -0.313533, "sufficient": true 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26.183953, "energy": 21.561546, "activity_lines": [ 274.3, 271.113848, 267.982478, 267.131734 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 298.7, "volume": 25567473, "typical_volume": 20391395.6, "trend": 272.532452, "fair_value": 576.888619, "relative_strength": -9.732849, "stage": 1, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 39.525088, "energy": 45.857311, "activity_lines": [ 284.706667, 276.144, 271.519746, 268.736522 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 411.4, "volume": 46685688, "typical_volume": 20490207.0, "trend": 274.585785, "fair_value": 574.534957, "relative_strength": 24.157026, "stage": 1, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 93.718066, "energy": 89.887705, "activity_lines": [ 329.246667, 301.249091, 285.501301, 277.695718 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }