{ "ticker": { "uuid": "09d2e9c1-0168-4def-b6c6-01b04c99c4ec", "symbol": "MYBEAT", "name": "My Beat AB", "exchange": "STO", "country": "SE", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^OMX", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "balance", "architecture_regime_label": "Balance", "architecture_modifier": "Balance after decline", "architecture_gate": "mixed", "architecture_direction": -26.59, "architecture_energy": 17.104, "architecture_maturity": 41.893, "architecture_confidence": 61.588, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "Directional pressure has compressed into balance.", "body": "Trend and Activity are compressed into balance, so neither side has durable control. Prior structure and the next directional change provide context; balance alone is not assumed to be a base." }, "scores": { "balance": 51.65, "rotation_up": 25.87, "upward_expansion": 7.87, "deceleration": 56.7, "rotation_down": 44.93, "downward_expansion": 47.2 }, "activity_lines": [ 0.392333, 0.4035, 0.469812, 0.472382 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.666667 }, "latest_close": 0.35, "trend_reference": 0.452683, "distance_from_trend": -0.226833, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 2.645567, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.867703, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -68.416419, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.080247, "excess_performance": 0.018753, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.226833, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.247909, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.867703, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.077239, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.684164, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.024606, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.080247, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 3.983613, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 3578926, "relative_activity": 2.174757, "balance": 3.983613, "dry_up": 3.327993, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.668901, "annualized_volatility": 1.657713, "from_high_reference": -0.911168, "from_low_reference": 0.732673 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 0.452683, "fair_value_reference": 2.645567, "structural_low": 0.202, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 10, "median_return": -0.180346, "positive_rate": 0.3, "directional_follow_through": 0.3, "median_excess_return": -0.216255, "regime_survival": 0.8, "best_return": 2.242106, "worst_return": -0.335244, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 3, "median_return": -0.100287, "positive_rate": 0.333333, "directional_follow_through": 0.333333, "median_excess_return": -0.129139, "regime_survival": 0.333333, "best_return": 3.80702, "worst_return": -0.550955, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 2, "median_return": 0.69762, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": 0.632414, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 1.991229, "worst_return": -0.595989, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": 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"rotation_down", "label": "Rotation Down", "color": "orange", "start": "2024-11-08", "end": "2024-12-13", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.030482, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2024-12-20", "end": "2025-04-25", "tenure": "Established", "return": -0.054863, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2025-05-02", "end": "2025-05-30", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.335244, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2025-06-06", "end": "2025-06-20", "tenure": "New", "return": 1.104, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2025-06-27", "end": "2025-09-26", "tenure": "Established", "return": -0.56326, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2025-10-03", "end": "2026-05-22", 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-11.347599, "energy": 15.274418, "activity_lines": [ 0.430833, 0.483164, 0.523648, 0.492551 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-10", "close": 0.399, "volume": 345579, "typical_volume": 581367.05, "trend": 0.454783, "fair_value": 2.75108, "relative_strength": -70.166993, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -17.098679, "energy": 23.209881, "activity_lines": [ 0.417533, 0.460227, 0.514179, 0.4883 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 0.3595, "volume": 445264, "typical_volume": 599986.05, "trend": 0.454767, "fair_value": 2.729346, "relative_strength": -71.405548, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -20.721297, "energy": 27.762078, "activity_lines": [ 0.3975, 0.4338, 0.500405, 0.482153 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 0.425, "volume": 15527073, "typical_volume": 1363501.75, "trend": 0.453, "fair_value": 2.70207, "relative_strength": -64.737408, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -13.228972, "energy": 16.870391, "activity_lines": [ 0.404633, 0.424564, 0.492529, 0.480232 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 0.4355, "volume": 2355808, "typical_volume": 1477783.85, "trend": 0.454183, "fair_value": 2.676977, "relative_strength": -62.263315, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -10.997916, "energy": 10.956998, "activity_lines": [ 0.412267, 0.421145, 0.485295, 0.479103 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 0.35, "volume": 3578926, "typical_volume": 1645666.9, "trend": 0.452683, "fair_value": 2.645567, "relative_strength": -68.416419, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -26.589881, "energy": 17.104281, "activity_lines": [ 0.392333, 0.4035, 0.469812, 0.472382 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }