{ "ticker": { "uuid": "09e5f223-53e3-4596-92cb-a2a47b6f6e74", "symbol": "BRKB", "name": "Berkshire Hathaway Inc.", "exchange": "VIE", "country": "AT", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^ATX", "stage": 3, "stage_name": "Distribution", "phase": "3a", "phase_label": "Stage 3A \u00b7 Churning", "transition": "stage_3_churning", "transition_label": "Stage 3 range intact", "confidence": 53.102, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early expansion", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 76.06, "architecture_energy": 65.162, "architecture_maturity": 13.322, "architecture_confidence": 65.855, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 14.09, "rotation_up": 71.86, "upward_expansion": 87.6, "deceleration": 47.13, "rotation_down": 13.44, "downward_expansion": 11.93 }, "activity_lines": [ 442.186664, 438.128182, 428.60881, 424.796882 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 0.833333 }, "latest_close": 449.200012, "trend_reference": 421.181666, "distance_from_trend": 0.066523, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 406.225641, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.105789, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -13.817377, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.050023, "excess_performance": -0.124223, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.066523, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.002324, "read": "Rising" 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395.850006, "invalidation": "A decisive breakout above range resistance with renewed RS leadership invalidates the distribution reading; a range-low break confirms deterioration." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 33, "median_return": 0.011126, "positive_rate": 0.575758, "directional_follow_through": 0.575758, "median_excess_return": -0.008588, "regime_survival": 0.757576, "best_return": 0.090839, "worst_return": -0.072994, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 13, "median_return": 0.050188, "positive_rate": 0.692308, "directional_follow_through": 0.692308, "median_excess_return": -0.006887, "regime_survival": 0.538462, "best_return": 0.129731, "worst_return": -0.055081, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 8, "median_return": 0.056465, "positive_rate": 0.75, "directional_follow_through": 0.75, "median_excess_return": 0.052501, "regime_survival": 0.25, "best_return": 0.166136, "worst_return": -0.137583, 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403.875321, "relative_strength": -14.093402, "stage": 1, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 64.431442, "energy": 68.926404, "activity_lines": [ 434.296667, 429.348184, 421.727858, 420.251613 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 436.049988, "volume": 348, "typical_volume": 184.95, "trend": 419.769999, "fair_value": 404.63718, "relative_strength": -14.621525, "stage": 1, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 63.720758, "energy": 56.884938, "activity_lines": [ 435.226662, 431.346363, 423.385238, 421.326989 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 444.799988, "volume": 410, "typical_volume": 194.9, "trend": 420.446665, "fair_value": 405.43718, "relative_strength": -12.443889, "stage": 1, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 73.135567, "energy": 50.353069, "activity_lines": [ 438.276658, 434.585452, 425.821427, 422.941827 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 449.200012, "volume": 355, "typical_volume": 204.1, "trend": 421.181666, "fair_value": 406.225641, "relative_strength": -13.817377, "stage": 3, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 76.060027, "energy": 65.161921, "activity_lines": [ 442.186664, 438.128182, 428.60881, 424.796882 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }