{ "ticker": { "uuid": "09e6f59e-4dde-4471-aa1e-96ad991d3795", "symbol": "600497", "name": "Yunnan Chihong Zinc & Germanium Co., Ltd.", "exchange": "SHH", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "000001.SS", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2b", "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "balance", "architecture_regime_label": "Balance", "architecture_modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 31.512, "architecture_energy": 21.192, "architecture_maturity": 34.498, "architecture_confidence": 93.169, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "Directional pressure has compressed into balance.", "body": "Trend and Activity are compressed into balance, so neither side has durable control. Prior structure and the next directional change provide context; balance alone is not assumed to be a base." }, "scores": { "balance": 39.48, "rotation_up": 26.64, "upward_expansion": 50.38, "deceleration": 87.64, "rotation_down": 43.44, "downward_expansion": 30.04 }, "activity_lines": [ 9.516667, 9.822727, 9.738246, 9.564814 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.333333 }, "latest_close": 10.45, "trend_reference": 9.397502, "distance_from_trend": 0.111998, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 6.150457, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.699061, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": 29.797314, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.071604, "excess_performance": 0.114808, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.111998, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.125346, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.699061, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.032595, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.297973, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.020511, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.071604, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.044416, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 917363278, "relative_activity": 1.33757, "balance": 1.044416, "dry_up": 1.190939, "accumulation_observations": 4, "distribution_observations": 4 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.132127, "annualized_volatility": 0.721617, "from_high_reference": -0.209531, "from_low_reference": 0.943103 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 9.397502, "fair_value_reference": 6.150457, "structural_low": 7.358491, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 18, "median_return": 0.000911, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": 0.015715, "regime_survival": 0.555556, "best_return": 0.19579, "worst_return": -0.092559, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 9, "median_return": 0.008298, "positive_rate": 0.555556, "directional_follow_through": 0.555556, "median_excess_return": 0.003346, "regime_survival": 0.444444, "best_return": 0.16421, "worst_return": -0.075506, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": 0.069098, "positive_rate": 1.0, "directional_follow_through": 1.0, "median_excess_return": 0.071104, "regime_survival": 0.6, "best_return": 0.214112, "worst_return": 0.037164, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full 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10.031447, 9.69566, 9.511849 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 8.91, "volume": 846129634, "typical_volume": 680642841.1, "trend": 9.228445, "fair_value": 6.091306, "relative_strength": 16.448564, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 14.692216, "energy": 14.39312, "activity_lines": [ 9.522667, 9.836534, 9.649594, 9.49511 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 9.15, "volume": 544754472, "typical_volume": 676124055.15, "trend": 9.291141, "fair_value": 6.116534, "relative_strength": 18.102977, "stage": 2, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -2.226682, "energy": 17.252859, "activity_lines": [ 9.19, 9.702909, 9.630441, 9.490049 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 10.45, "volume": 917363278, "typical_volume": 685843265.6, "trend": 9.397502, "fair_value": 6.150457, "relative_strength": 29.797314, "stage": 2, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "up", "direction": 31.512487, "energy": 21.192161, "activity_lines": [ 9.516667, 9.822727, 9.738246, 9.564814 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }