{ "ticker": { "uuid": "09f9df90-40a1-43c5-954e-5fd96f340eb9", "symbol": "SKY", "name": "Sky ICT Public Company Limited", "exchange": "SET", "country": "TH", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^SET.BK", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2c", "phase_label": "Stage 2C \u00b7 Late advance", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 75.801, "architecture_energy": 84.471, "architecture_maturity": 40.0, "architecture_confidence": 83.436, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 3.29, "rotation_up": 82.87, "upward_expansion": 97.5, "deceleration": 39.82, "rotation_down": 9.37, "downward_expansion": 19.5 }, "activity_lines": [ 17.986666, 16.938182, 15.538966, 14.68568 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 1.0 }, "latest_close": 18.5, "trend_reference": 13.567154, "distance_from_trend": 0.363587, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 19.457099, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.04919, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 23.374814, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.84102, "excess_performance": 0.648694, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.363587, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.140533, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.04919, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.353256, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.233748, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.38984, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.84102, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 4.21694, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 20207800, "relative_activity": 2.539675, "balance": 4.21694, "dry_up": 2.96254, "accumulation_observations": 6, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.089397, "annualized_volatility": 0.624742, "from_high_reference": -0.08867, "from_low_reference": 0.934949 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 13.567154, "fair_value_reference": 19.457099, "structural_low": 10.536586, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 13, "median_return": -0.05042, "positive_rate": 0.461538, "directional_follow_through": 0.461538, "median_excess_return": -0.036305, "regime_survival": 0.538462, "best_return": 0.734375, "worst_return": -0.256579, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": -0.12931, "positive_rate": 0.4, "directional_follow_through": 0.4, "median_excess_return": -0.137582, "regime_survival": 0.2, "best_return": 0.75, "worst_return": -0.342574, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": -0.021703, "positive_rate": 0.25, "directional_follow_through": 0.25, "median_excess_return": 0.007381, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.5143, "worst_return": -0.520792, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", "sample_count": 3, 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13.526585, 13.021133 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-03", "close": 15.0, "volume": 2440400, "typical_volume": 5490335.0, "trend": 12.487967, "fair_value": 19.739244, "relative_strength": 0.532685, "stage": 1, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 62.694774, "energy": 53.355521, "activity_lines": [ 14.986667, 14.623814, 13.696016, 13.189232 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-10", "close": 15.6, "volume": 9937000, "typical_volume": 5037060.0, "trend": 12.607968, "fair_value": 19.691026, "relative_strength": 4.050624, "stage": 1, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 71.342911, "energy": 51.555208, "activity_lines": [ 15.066667, 14.918182, 13.914808, 13.390008 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 17.1, "volume": 18426300, "typical_volume": 5228495.0, "trend": 12.787724, "fair_value": 19.631786, "relative_strength": 12.8189, "stage": 1, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 82.960391, "energy": 59.899085, "activity_lines": [ 15.76, 15.412727, 14.268142, 13.679816 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 17.299999, "volume": 22423000, "typical_volume": 5892880.0, "trend": 13.026179, "fair_value": 19.575391, "relative_strength": 13.69528, "stage": 1, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 78.539351, "energy": 62.897933, "activity_lines": [ 16.4, 15.852727, 14.628316, 13.970931 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 18.9, "volume": 33232800, "typical_volume": 7203900.0, "trend": 13.295203, "fair_value": 19.516745, "relative_strength": 25.212596, "stage": 1, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 85.752399, "energy": 80.974654, "activity_lines": [ 17.413333, 16.483636, 15.117491, 14.349887 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 18.5, "volume": 20207800, "typical_volume": 7956845.0, "trend": 13.567154, "fair_value": 19.457099, "relative_strength": 23.374814, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 75.801163, "energy": 84.471109, "activity_lines": [ 17.986666, 16.938182, 15.538966, 14.68568 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }