{ "ticker": { "uuid": "0a2c3e78-9290-436a-b298-f3344f3de6f0", "symbol": "300224", "name": "Yantai Zhenghai Magnetic Material Co., Ltd.", "exchange": "SHZ", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "399001.SZ", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -64.652, "architecture_energy": 79.727, "architecture_maturity": 51.483, "architecture_confidence": 86.869, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 16.56, "rotation_up": 9.41, "upward_expansion": 19.0, "deceleration": 37.19, "rotation_down": 74.58, "downward_expansion": 92.33 }, "activity_lines": [ 11.292, 11.929455, 12.457168, 13.149235 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.666667 }, "latest_close": 11.81, "trend_reference": 14.203873, "distance_from_trend": -0.168537, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 12.559323, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.059663, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -24.782125, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": -0.315013, "excess_performance": -0.322413, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.168537, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.063529, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.059663, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.141235, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.247821, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.039923, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.315013, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.536689, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 89076582, "relative_activity": 0.954546, "balance": 0.536689, "dry_up": 0.836622, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 3 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.090662, "annualized_volatility": 0.505308, "from_high_reference": -0.417295, "from_low_reference": 0.154448 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 14.203873, "fair_value_reference": 12.559323, "structural_low": 10.23, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 23, "median_return": -0.01112, "positive_rate": 0.434783, "directional_follow_through": 0.565217, "median_excess_return": -0.00611, "regime_survival": 0.73913, "best_return": 0.329223, "worst_return": -0.212734, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 9, "median_return": -0.00085, "positive_rate": 0.444444, "directional_follow_through": 0.555556, "median_excess_return": 0.004308, "regime_survival": 0.555556, "best_return": 0.576543, "worst_return": -0.174312, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": -0.035992, "positive_rate": 0.4, "directional_follow_through": 0.6, "median_excess_return": 0.094459, "regime_survival": 0.4, "best_return": 0.452484, "worst_return": -0.172361, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full 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"stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -80.684923, "energy": 51.249761, "activity_lines": [ 12.468667, 12.708545, 13.080151, 13.78875 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 10.51, "volume": 84427925, "typical_volume": 97439399.9, "trend": 14.455536, "fair_value": 12.568863, "relative_strength": -31.952182, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -84.61885, "energy": 83.137401, "activity_lines": [ 11.669333, 12.285636, 12.783155, 13.52496 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 11.14, "volume": 58858400, "typical_volume": 93977663.8, "trend": 14.318209, "fair_value": 12.560634, "relative_strength": -25.959655, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -69.091316, "energy": 84.25939, "activity_lines": [ 11.295333, 12.028545, 12.576148, 13.311055 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 11.81, "volume": 89076582, "typical_volume": 93318270.6, "trend": 14.203873, "fair_value": 12.559323, "relative_strength": -24.782125, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -64.651903, "energy": 79.726804, "activity_lines": [ 11.292, 11.929455, 12.457168, 13.149235 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }