{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "0a2fc490-6505-4116-af86-fac56de0fd67",
    "symbol": "ENOG",
    "name": "Energean plc",
    "exchange": "LSE",
    "country": "GB",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^FTSE",
    "stage": 4,
    "stage_name": "Declining",
    "phase": "4b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining",
    "transition": "stage_4_declining",
    "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction",
    "architecture_gate": "down",
    "architecture_direction": -40.241,
    "architecture_energy": 26.358,
    "architecture_maturity": 99.78,
    "architecture_confidence": 81.789,
    "architecture_tenure": "Established",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 28.14,
        "rotation_up": 33.88,
        "upward_expansion": 21.97,
        "deceleration": 44.0,
        "rotation_down": 27.42,
        "downward_expansion": 58.3
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        761.666667,
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      "activity_state": "Wide",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Improving",
      "price_acceptance": -0.166667
    },
    "latest_close": 732.0,
    "trend_reference": 822.236558,
    "distance_from_trend": -0.109745,
    "trend_direction": "Weakening",
    "fair_value": 938.003523,
    "distance_from_fair_value": -0.219619,
    "fair_value_direction": "Weakening",
    "relative_strength": -21.557002,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening",
    "price_momentum": -0.146454,
    "excess_performance": -0.197689,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.109745,
        "read": "Below"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.069834,
        "read": "Falling"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.219619,
        "read": "Below anchor"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.098013,
        "read": "Moving away"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.21557,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.106209,
        "read": "Weakening"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.146454,
        "read": "Negative"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": false,
        "value": 0.548863,
        "read": "Supply-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 2020148,
      "relative_activity": 1.502985,
      "balance": 0.548863,
      "dry_up": 1.25069,
      "accumulation_observations": 1,
      "distribution_observations": 5
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.072391,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.32677,
      "from_high_reference": -0.296949,
      "from_low_reference": 0.085248
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 822.236558,
      "fair_value_reference": 938.003523,
      "structural_low": 674.5,
      "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired."
    },
    "outcomes": [
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        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 22,
        "median_return": -0.00073,
        "positive_rate": 0.5,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.5,
        "median_excess_return": 0.038109,
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        "worst_return": -0.147291,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 8,
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        "worst_return": -0.154979,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 5,
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        "directional_follow_through": 0.2,
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        "sufficient": true
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      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 3,
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        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
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        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
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        "volume": 1955341,
        "typical_volume": 1376980.6,
        "trend": 828.122382,
        "fair_value": 940.861564,
        "relative_strength": -18.641099,
        "stage": 4,
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        "modifier": "Established contraction",
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        "energy": 24.323775,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 732.0,
        "volume": 2020148,
        "typical_volume": 1344090.35,
        "trend": 822.236558,
        "fair_value": 938.003523,
        "relative_strength": -21.557002,
        "stage": 4,
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        "modifier": "Established contraction",
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    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}