{ "ticker": { "uuid": "0a35698f-ab0b-48c9-8b64-e55649835fb4", "symbol": "TICL", "name": "Twamev Construction and Infrastructure Limited", "exchange": "NSI", "country": "IN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^NSEI", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -68.47, "architecture_energy": 88.454, "architecture_maturity": 36.0, "architecture_confidence": 83.696, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 3.51, "rotation_up": 8.84, "upward_expansion": 21.93, "deceleration": 37.02, "rotation_down": 80.63, "downward_expansion": 97.6 }, "activity_lines": [ 10.171333, 12.171273, 16.132857, 18.284215 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.833333 }, "latest_close": 10.57, "trend_reference": 20.526667, "distance_from_trend": -0.48506, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 31.224936, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.661488, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -54.065592, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.526009, "excess_performance": -0.4823, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.48506, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.171086, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.661488, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.408088, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.540656, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.455521, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.526009, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.858342, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 370328, "relative_activity": 0.103308, "balance": 0.858342, "dry_up": 0.31274, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.209956, "annualized_volatility": 0.596575, "from_high_reference": -0.689026, "from_low_reference": 0.186308 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 20.526667, "fair_value_reference": 31.224936, "structural_low": 8.91, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 23, "median_return": -0.018519, "positive_rate": 0.434783, "directional_follow_through": 0.565217, "median_excess_return": -0.004998, "regime_survival": 0.782609, "best_return": 0.654639, "worst_return": -0.468734, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 9, "median_return": 0.013953, "positive_rate": 0.555556, "directional_follow_through": 0.444444, "median_excess_return": 0.03122, "regime_survival": 0.555556, "best_return": 0.646789, "worst_return": -0.229922, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": -0.068832, "positive_rate": 0.2, "directional_follow_through": 0.8, "median_excess_return": -0.130657, "regime_survival": 0.4, "best_return": 0.669768, "worst_return": -0.520066, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": 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"rotation_up", "label": "Rotation Up", "color": "teal", "start": "2025-01-24", "end": "2025-01-31", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.001162, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2025-02-07", "end": "2025-02-28", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.273397, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2025-03-07", "end": "2025-03-14", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.141553, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_down", "label": "Rotation Down", "color": "orange", "start": "2025-03-21", "end": "2025-04-04", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.083575, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2025-04-11", "end": "2025-10-24", "tenure": "Extended", "return": -0.132792, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_up", "label": "Rotation Up", "color": "teal", "start": "2025-10-31", "end": "2025-11-28", "tenure": "Developing", 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-90.411636, "energy": 96.284362, "activity_lines": [ 12.854667, 16.022, 19.100667, 20.51271 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 9.72, "volume": 1236742, "typical_volume": 4059643.3, "trend": 21.479, "fair_value": 31.325962, "relative_strength": -57.700518, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -84.835206, "energy": 94.51419, "activity_lines": [ 11.288, 14.442364, 18.015381, 19.724688 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 9.57, "volume": 371528, "typical_volume": 3860976.5, "trend": 20.988333, "fair_value": 31.272244, "relative_strength": -58.709973, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -78.021721, "energy": 92.141028, "activity_lines": [ 10.313333, 13.095818, 16.986714, 18.956366 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 10.57, "volume": 370328, "typical_volume": 3584708.65, "trend": 20.526667, "fair_value": 31.224936, "relative_strength": -54.065592, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -68.469714, "energy": 88.454477, "activity_lines": [ 10.171333, 12.171273, 16.132857, 18.284215 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }