{ "ticker": { "uuid": "0a365ff5-6476-4946-8053-f2c769d3f7f1", "symbol": "HLS", "name": "Helens", "exchange": "SES", "country": "SG", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^STI", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2c", "phase_label": "Stage 2C \u00b7 Late advance", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "deceleration", "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration", "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 54.073, "architecture_energy": 57.231, "architecture_maturity": 74.067, "architecture_confidence": 72.176, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.", "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down." }, "scores": { "balance": 35.39, "rotation_up": 39.7, "upward_expansion": 65.5, "deceleration": 73.46, "rotation_down": 29.92, "downward_expansion": 12.0 }, "activity_lines": [ 0.17, 0.17, 0.160479, 0.145506 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.0 }, "latest_close": 0.17, "trend_reference": 0.127373, "distance_from_trend": 0.334661, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 0.138546, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.227028, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 10.827777, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.979391, "excess_performance": 0.824556, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.334661, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.185656, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.227028, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.368489, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.108278, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.405931, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.979391, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 2.429825, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 0, "relative_activity": 0.0, "balance": 2.429825, "dry_up": 0.0, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.054775, "annualized_volatility": 0.768817, "from_high_reference": -0.357907, "from_low_reference": 1.025063 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 0.127373, "fair_value_reference": 0.138546, "structural_low": 0.083948, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 0, "median_return": null, "positive_rate": null, "directional_follow_through": null, "median_excess_return": null, "regime_survival": null, "best_return": null, "worst_return": null, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 0, "median_return": null, "positive_rate": null, "directional_follow_through": null, "median_excess_return": null, "regime_survival": null, "best_return": null, "worst_return": null, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 0, "median_return": null, "positive_rate": null, "directional_follow_through": null, "median_excess_return": null, "regime_survival": null, "best_return": null, "worst_return": null, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", "sample_count": 0, "median_return": null, "positive_rate": null, "directional_follow_through": null, "median_excess_return": null, "regime_survival": null, "best_return": null, "worst_return": null, "sufficient": false } ], "ledger": [ { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2026-01-23", "end": "2026-03-27", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.15823, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_up", "label": "Rotation Up", "color": "teal", "start": "2026-04-03", "end": "2026-05-22", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.713521, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2026-05-29", "end": "2026-07-17", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.0, "active": false }, { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2026-07-24", "end": "2026-08-07", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.0, "active": true } ], "chart_path": [ { "date": "2024-07-19", "close": 0.052368, "volume": 3500, "typical_volume": null, "trend": null, "fair_value": null, "relative_strength": 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"Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 61.421366, "energy": 62.634462, "activity_lines": [ 0.17, 0.169629, 0.151131, 0.13634 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 0.17, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 3040.0, "trend": 0.122842, "fair_value": 0.137953, "relative_strength": 9.069946, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 50.451186, "energy": 57.594082, "activity_lines": [ 0.17, 0.170309, 0.154648, 0.139567 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 0.17, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 3040.0, "trend": 0.125108, "fair_value": 0.138252, "relative_strength": 10.243006, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 54.484634, "energy": 58.123287, "activity_lines": [ 0.17, 0.17, 0.157763, 0.142609 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 0.17, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 3040.0, "trend": 0.127373, "fair_value": 0.138546, "relative_strength": 10.827777, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 54.07327, "energy": 57.230536, "activity_lines": [ 0.17, 0.17, 0.160479, 0.145506 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }