{ "ticker": { "uuid": "0a38d496-b0e4-4707-8c9f-e99fdf08f4f5", "symbol": "NVT", "name": "nVent Electric PLC", "exchange": "NYSE", "country": "US", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "SPY", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2b", "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 93.145, "architecture_regime": "deceleration", "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration", "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 29.833, "architecture_energy": 14.388, "architecture_maturity": 57.945, "architecture_confidence": 92.818, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.", "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down." }, "scores": { "balance": 57.68, "rotation_up": 26.28, "upward_expansion": 47.7, "deceleration": 84.51, "rotation_down": 23.56, "downward_expansion": 23.36 }, "activity_lines": [ 157.603326, 158.67208, 159.155201, 151.39336 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.166667 }, "latest_close": 164.69, "trend_reference": 140.110616, "distance_from_trend": 0.175428, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 84.563384, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.947533, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": 20.215728, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.464251, "excess_performance": 0.338626, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.175428, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.152575, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.947533, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.316109, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.202157, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.305896, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.464251, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.003757, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 10533486, "relative_activity": 1.01835, "balance": 1.003757, "dry_up": 1.064399, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.108792, "annualized_volatility": 0.375803, "from_high_reference": -0.106814, "from_low_reference": 0.931636 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 140.110616, "fair_value_reference": 84.563384, "structural_low": 102.243476, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 13, "median_return": 0.022849, "positive_rate": 0.769231, "directional_follow_through": 0.769231, "median_excess_return": 0.015232, "regime_survival": 0.461538, "best_return": 0.107938, "worst_return": -0.076891, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 7, "median_return": 0.113915, "positive_rate": 0.857143, "directional_follow_through": 0.857143, "median_excess_return": 0.033468, "regime_survival": 0.285714, "best_return": 0.217985, "worst_return": -0.071919, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": 0.317335, "positive_rate": 0.8, "directional_follow_through": 0.8, "median_excess_return": 0.178691, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.746835, "worst_return": -0.094373, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full 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158.233752, 161.573029, 156.985647, 147.477139 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 151.79, "volume": 7241429, "typical_volume": 10299142.45, "trend": 136.542761, "fair_value": 83.194524, "relative_strength": 17.652744, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 30.707569, "energy": 20.66088, "activity_lines": [ 155.056148, 159.426227, 157.450284, 148.563975 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 153.83, "volume": 17923117, "typical_volume": 10615742.95, "trend": 138.12177, "fair_value": 83.842123, "relative_strength": 17.159833, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 28.258448, "energy": 16.56352, "activity_lines": [ 154.22424, 157.963426, 157.890509, 149.67928 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 164.69, "volume": 10533486, "typical_volume": 10343684.55, "trend": 140.110616, "fair_value": 84.563384, "relative_strength": 20.215728, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 29.832849, "energy": 14.388074, "activity_lines": [ 157.603326, 158.67208, 159.155201, 151.39336 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }