{ "ticker": { "uuid": "0a441c7a-84a4-4aa3-820b-f40c36053a68", "symbol": "PAC", "name": "Grupo Aeroportuario del Pacifico SAB De CV ADR", "exchange": "NYSE", "country": "US", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "SPY", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4a", "phase_label": "Stage 4A \u00b7 Breakdown", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -61.021, "architecture_energy": 72.643, "architecture_maturity": 28.288, "architecture_confidence": 84.213, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 15.87, "rotation_up": 11.5, "upward_expansion": 18.91, "deceleration": 34.26, "rotation_down": 72.81, "downward_expansion": 89.91 }, "activity_lines": [ 220.613333, 229.441091, 235.693095, 240.183978 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.5 }, "latest_close": 222.7, "trend_reference": 248.437333, "distance_from_trend": -0.103597, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 193.843718, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.148864, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -19.206091, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.225418, "excess_performance": -0.351043, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.103597, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.015258, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.148864, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.160083, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.192061, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.093246, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.225418, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.784399, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 745855, "relative_activity": 1.166988, "balance": 0.784399, "dry_up": 1.30504, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.070113, "annualized_volatility": 0.369127, "from_high_reference": -0.25868, "from_low_reference": 0.076313 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 248.437333, "fair_value_reference": 193.843718, "structural_low": 212.01, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": 0.133908, "positive_rate": 0.666667, "directional_follow_through": 0.333333, "median_excess_return": 0.109031, "regime_survival": 0.666667, "best_return": 0.188036, "worst_return": -0.143313, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 2, "median_return": 0.25794, "positive_rate": 1.0, "directional_follow_through": 0.0, "median_excess_return": 0.173711, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.320368, "worst_return": 0.195512, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 2, "median_return": 0.377747, "positive_rate": 1.0, "directional_follow_through": 0.0, "median_excess_return": 0.201172, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.41705, "worst_return": 0.338444, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", 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32.023899, "activity_lines": [ 237.89, 239.7, 242.219952, 246.525806 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 216.28, "volume": 866487, "typical_volume": 610769.85, "trend": 251.414667, "fair_value": 193.104224, "relative_strength": -18.598994, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -68.68898, "energy": 63.763086, "activity_lines": [ 228.818667, 235.418, 239.728524, 244.138452 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 217.35, "volume": 906473, "typical_volume": 630779.6, "trend": 249.929667, "fair_value": 193.454782, "relative_strength": -18.761496, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -67.602855, "energy": 74.503665, "activity_lines": [ 222.639333, 231.733636, 237.439333, 241.940731 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 222.7, "volume": 745855, "typical_volume": 639128.25, "trend": 248.437333, "fair_value": 193.843718, "relative_strength": -19.206091, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -61.021381, "energy": 72.643028, "activity_lines": [ 220.613333, 229.441091, 235.693095, 240.183978 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }