{ "ticker": { "uuid": "0a65c911-5e52-4874-b2de-b44b45a4068d", "symbol": "1470", "name": "evertex fabrinology limited", "exchange": "TAI", "country": "TW", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-14", "benchmark": "^TWII", "stage": 3, "stage_name": "Distribution", "phase": "3a", "phase_label": "Stage 3A \u00b7 Churning", "transition": "stage_3_churning", "transition_label": "Stage 3 range intact", "confidence": 68.212, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early expansion", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 62.746, "architecture_energy": 64.643, "architecture_maturity": 6.436, "architecture_confidence": 68.984, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 33.41, "rotation_up": 68.94, "upward_expansion": 87.39, "deceleration": 45.03, "rotation_down": 9.71, "downward_expansion": 14.06 }, "activity_lines": [ 23.113333, 22.642042, 22.235239, 22.124859 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 0.666667 }, "latest_close": 23.299999, "trend_reference": 22.075845, "distance_from_trend": 0.055452, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 20.020432, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.163811, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -24.031725, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.054097, "excess_performance": -0.387275, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.055452, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.004813, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.163811, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.085287, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.240317, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.09626, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.054097, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 2.467286, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 81130, "relative_activity": 1.089041, "balance": 2.467286, "dry_up": 0.738757, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.048141, "annualized_volatility": 0.227204, "from_high_reference": -0.039175, "from_low_reference": 0.229331 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 22.075845, "fair_value_reference": 20.020432, "structural_low": 19.874414, "invalidation": "A decisive breakout above range resistance with renewed RS leadership invalidates the distribution reading; a range-low break confirms deterioration." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 26, "median_return": 0.0, "positive_rate": 0.461538, "directional_follow_through": 0.461538, "median_excess_return": -0.019063, "regime_survival": 0.653846, "best_return": 0.177928, "worst_return": -0.161736, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 10, "median_return": 0.020796, "positive_rate": 0.6, "directional_follow_through": 0.6, "median_excess_return": -0.048505, "regime_survival": 0.3, "best_return": 0.251256, "worst_return": -0.165101, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 7, "median_return": 0.017416, "positive_rate": 0.571429, "directional_follow_through": 0.571429, "median_excess_return": -0.083967, "regime_survival": 0.285714, "best_return": 0.571823, "worst_return": -0.331007, "sufficient": true }, 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after advance", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 19.656519, "energy": 26.253526, "activity_lines": [ 22.255548, 22.007211, 21.851957, 21.8941 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 23.6, "volume": 68010, "typical_volume": 71691.25, "trend": 22.012895, "fair_value": 19.952951, "relative_strength": -19.748576, "stage": 3, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 41.970654, "energy": 52.80552, "activity_lines": [ 22.82, 22.324454, 22.024507, 21.998876 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 22.700001, "volume": 48000, "typical_volume": 71840.25, "trend": 22.03437, "fair_value": 19.985056, "relative_strength": -24.013425, "stage": 3, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "up", "direction": 55.998902, "energy": 60.858373, "activity_lines": [ 22.923334, 22.436763, 22.101451, 22.043206 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-14", "close": 23.299999, "volume": 81130, "typical_volume": 74496.75, "trend": 22.075845, "fair_value": 20.020432, "relative_strength": -24.031725, "stage": 3, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 62.74647, "energy": 64.643316, "activity_lines": [ 23.113333, 22.642042, 22.235239, 22.124859 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }