{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "0a692e9c-bb3c-480f-80a9-6380b142671f",
    "symbol": "ZPRD",
    "name": "State Street SPDR FTSE UK All Share UCITS ETF GBP (Dist)",
    "exchange": "GER",
    "country": "DE",
    "assetType": "etf"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^GDAXI",
    "stage": 2,
    "stage_name": "Advancing",
    "phase": "2b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing",
    "transition": "stage_2_healthy",
    "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact",
    "confidence": 84.727,
    "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 85.167,
    "architecture_energy": 89.828,
    "architecture_maturity": 36.556,
    "architecture_confidence": 72.231,
    "architecture_tenure": "Established",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 8.87,
        "rotation_up": 82.46,
        "upward_expansion": 96.26,
        "deceleration": 41.9,
        "rotation_down": 9.26,
        "downward_expansion": 20.59
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        7.041467,
        6.965255,
        6.873671,
        6.818504
      ],
      "activity_state": "Moderate",
      "activity_direction": "Expanding",
      "rotation_direction": "Improving",
      "price_acceptance": 0.833333
    },
    "latest_close": 7.138,
    "trend_reference": 6.753386,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.056951,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 5.541519,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.288095,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": 1.840548,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening",
    "price_momentum": 0.074514,
    "excess_performance": 0.009874,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.056951,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.032419,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.288095,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.048122,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.018405,
        "read": "Leading"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.041244,
        "read": "Weakening"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.074514,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 1.322511,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 1541,
      "relative_activity": 0.060728,
      "balance": 1.322511,
      "dry_up": 0.035182,
      "accumulation_observations": 1,
      "distribution_observations": 2
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.015788,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.146398,
      "from_high_reference": -0.002794,
      "from_low_reference": 0.22602
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 6.753386,
      "fair_value_reference": 5.541519,
      "structural_low": 6.307,
      "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 43,
        "median_return": 0.011858,
        "positive_rate": 0.581395,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.581395,
        "median_excess_return": 0.004298,
        "regime_survival": 0.790698,
        "best_return": 0.073303,
        "worst_return": -0.081685,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 15,
        "median_return": 0.011891,
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        "directional_follow_through": 0.6,
        "median_excess_return": 0.029761,
        "regime_survival": 0.6,
        "best_return": 0.122738,
        "worst_return": -0.031192,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 8,
        "median_return": 0.05985,
        "positive_rate": 0.875,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.875,
        "median_excess_return": 0.012794,
        "regime_survival": 0.625,
        "best_return": 0.135337,
        "worst_return": -0.051009,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 4,
        "median_return": 0.077347,
        "positive_rate": 1.0,
        "directional_follow_through": 1.0,
        "median_excess_return": -0.017451,
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        "worst_return": 0.005829,
        "sufficient": false
      }
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        "regime": "balance",
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        "date": "2026-05-01",
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        "date": "2026-05-08",
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        "date": "2026-05-15",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-22",
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      },
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        "date": "2026-06-05",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-26",
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        "relative_strength": 5.630155,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
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        "trend": 6.647501,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
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        "trend": 6.669207,
        "fair_value": 5.478925,
        "relative_strength": 3.565539,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 58.013532,
        "energy": 56.475959,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 6.894,
        "volume": 411,
        "typical_volume": 43840.5,
        "trend": 6.687468,
        "fair_value": 5.493541,
        "relative_strength": 4.99963,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 63.423796,
        "energy": 61.902023,
        "activity_lines": [
          6.874067,
          6.837945,
          6.781367,
          6.748684
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 6.992,
        "volume": 978,
        "typical_volume": 29987.95,
        "trend": 6.709028,
        "fair_value": 5.508784,
        "relative_strength": 5.064317,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 75.516324,
        "energy": 73.672341,
        "activity_lines": [
          6.919933,
          6.872509,
          6.806613,
          6.768331
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 7.081,
        "volume": 641,
        "typical_volume": 28159.4,
        "trend": 6.732302,
        "fair_value": 5.524946,
        "relative_strength": 3.97821,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 82.718724,
        "energy": 79.752035,
        "activity_lines": [
          6.9794,
          6.916309,
          6.838541,
          6.79233
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 7.138,
        "volume": 1541,
        "typical_volume": 25375.35,
        "trend": 6.753386,
        "fair_value": 5.541519,
        "relative_strength": 1.840548,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 85.167335,
        "energy": 89.827731,
        "activity_lines": [
          7.041467,
          6.965255,
          6.873671,
          6.818504
        ]
      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}