{ "ticker": { "uuid": "0a6ec6ce-0514-49c6-8658-56cf64152694", "symbol": "AWDE", "name": "BNP PARIBAS EASY II MSCI World PAB UCITS ETFEUR (H) Acc", "exchange": "GER", "country": "DE", "assetType": "etf" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^GDAXI", "stage": 3, "stage_name": "Distribution", "phase": "3b", "phase_label": "Stage 3B \u00b7 Distribution", "transition": "stage_3_churning", "transition_label": "Stage 3 range intact", "confidence": 61.084, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Re-accelerating", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 84.754, "architecture_energy": 61.954, "architecture_maturity": 16.328, "architecture_confidence": 80.412, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 25.46, "rotation_up": 56.81, "upward_expansion": 80.91, "deceleration": 56.65, "rotation_down": 23.65, "downward_expansion": 9.91 }, "activity_lines": [ 12.069867, 11.990182, 11.90521, 11.720542 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.5 }, "latest_close": 12.434, "trend_reference": 11.534533, "distance_from_trend": 0.07798, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 10.781374, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.153285, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 0.918493, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.101719, "excess_performance": 0.037079, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.07798, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.018082, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.153285, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.03394, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.009185, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.055542, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.101719, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.341087, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 12, "relative_activity": 0.001492, "balance": 0.341087, "dry_up": 0.187812, "accumulation_observations": 0, "distribution_observations": 0 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.01903, "annualized_volatility": 0.144326, "from_high_reference": 0.0, "from_low_reference": 0.206716 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 11.534533, "fair_value_reference": 10.781374, "structural_low": 10.304, "invalidation": "A 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"upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 81.187612, "energy": 86.455676, "activity_lines": [ 11.966933, 11.743527, 11.433867, 11.383819 ] }, { "date": "2026-06-05", "close": 11.96, "volume": 5000, "typical_volume": 11574.9, "trend": 11.356933, "fair_value": 10.656593, "relative_strength": 4.498496, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 66.404052, "energy": 77.395785, "activity_lines": [ 11.994667, 11.831418, 11.494048, 11.424486 ] }, { "date": "2026-06-12", "close": 11.872, "volume": 900, "typical_volume": 10195.6, "trend": 11.376267, "fair_value": 10.670892, "relative_strength": 4.056154, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 64.259518, "energy": 66.450291, "activity_lines": [ 11.965467, 11.874364, 11.5436, 11.457716 ] }, { "date": "2026-06-19", "close": 11.89, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 8934.0, "trend": 11.406733, "fair_value": 10.685067, "relative_strength": 2.582312, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 61.681521, "energy": 53.787603, "activity_lines": [ 11.941067, 11.899418, 11.592695, 11.49086 ] }, { "date": "2026-06-26", "close": 11.722, "volume": 9, "typical_volume": 8915.35, "trend": 11.418667, "fair_value": 10.696986, "relative_strength": 2.258294, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 46.502772, "energy": 37.268918, "activity_lines": [ 11.857067, 11.879527, 11.623571, 11.5112 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-03", "close": 11.962, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 8915.35, "trend": 11.4366, "fair_value": 10.711361, "relative_strength": -0.216761, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 51.005092, "energy": 37.131001, "activity_lines": [ 11.871467, 11.901927, 11.675229, 11.546254 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-10", "close": 12.014, "volume": 3157, "typical_volume": 9072.8, "trend": 11.460133, "fair_value": 10.725998, "relative_strength": 2.872736, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 55.317111, "energy": 41.440968, "activity_lines": [ 11.915733, 11.926473, 11.728352, 11.583505 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 11.884, "volume": 1331, "typical_volume": 9139.35, "trend": 11.4764, "fair_value": 10.738864, "relative_strength": 2.551707, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 47.075842, "energy": 40.032057, "activity_lines": [ 11.913067, 11.918873, 11.765657, 11.610852 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 11.848, "volume": 4699, "typical_volume": 9374.3, "trend": 11.4886, "fair_value": 10.751053, "relative_strength": 1.031358, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 46.833001, "energy": 39.711232, "activity_lines": [ 11.8976, 11.904182, 11.796733, 11.634826 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 11.888, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 9267.55, "trend": 11.5048, "fair_value": 10.763411, "relative_strength": -0.796996, "stage": 3, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 53.586823, "energy": 38.350703, "activity_lines": [ 11.898267, 11.896545, 11.82759, 11.660594 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 12.434, "volume": 12, "typical_volume": 8042.6, "trend": 11.534533, "fair_value": 10.781374, "relative_strength": 0.918493, "stage": 3, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 84.753791, "energy": 61.954048, "activity_lines": [ 12.069867, 11.990182, 11.90521, 11.720542 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }