{ "ticker": { "uuid": "0a76ff32-c6c9-48cf-a14a-853bf698b203", "symbol": "5OI", "name": "Japan Foods Holding Ltd.", "exchange": "SES", "country": "SG", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^STI", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 95.466, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -51.617, "architecture_energy": 32.266, "architecture_maturity": 100.0, "architecture_confidence": 72.016, "architecture_tenure": "Extended", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 34.5, "rotation_up": 24.22, "upward_expansion": 3.83, "deceleration": 58.29, "rotation_down": 42.42, "downward_expansion": 70.33 }, "activity_lines": [ 0.104867, 0.105673, 0.1082, 0.111948 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.5 }, "latest_close": 0.105, "trend_reference": 0.1197, "distance_from_trend": -0.122807, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 0.246204, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.573524, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -38.53445, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": -0.25, "excess_performance": -0.404835, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.122807, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.134699, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.573524, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.051328, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.385344, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.059789, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.25, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 2.59159, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 10500, "relative_activity": 0.160489, "balance": 2.59159, "dry_up": 0.08483, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.095971, "annualized_volatility": 0.539302, "from_high_reference": -0.455959, "from_low_reference": 0.05 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 0.1197, "fair_value_reference": 0.246204, "structural_low": 0.1, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 29, "median_return": -0.029268, "positive_rate": 0.206897, "directional_follow_through": 0.689655, "median_excess_return": -0.034848, "regime_survival": 0.896552, "best_return": 0.162003, "worst_return": -0.148148, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 9, "median_return": -0.11111, "positive_rate": 0.111111, "directional_follow_through": 0.888889, "median_excess_return": -0.15319, "regime_survival": 0.888889, "best_return": 0.007069, "worst_return": -0.309091, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": -0.290708, "positive_rate": 0.0, "directional_follow_through": 1.0, "median_excess_return": -0.358523, "regime_survival": 0.75, "best_return": -0.064866, "worst_return": -0.418182, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", 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"Rotation Up", "color": "teal", "start": "2024-03-29", "end": "2024-04-05", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.31579, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2024-04-12", "end": "2024-08-02", "tenure": "Established", "return": 0.140078, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_up", "label": "Rotation Up", "color": "teal", "start": "2024-08-09", "end": "2024-09-06", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.16129, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2024-09-13", "end": "2024-09-27", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.211538, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2024-10-04", "end": "2024-11-22", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.076923, "active": false }, { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2024-11-29", "end": "2024-12-27", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.1, 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"activity_lines": [ 0.104867, 0.108545, 0.110805, 0.116895 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 0.112, "volume": 1300, "typical_volume": 70740.0, "trend": 0.1261, "fair_value": 0.252313, "relative_strength": -35.441678, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -54.956099, "energy": 41.534055, "activity_lines": [ 0.106133, 0.108945, 0.110605, 0.115865 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 0.101, "volume": 100, "typical_volume": 65800.0, "trend": 0.123833, "fair_value": 0.250218, "relative_strength": -41.659522, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -61.912784, "energy": 42.839898, "activity_lines": [ 0.103933, 0.107164, 0.109433, 0.114245 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 0.105, "volume": 10300, "typical_volume": 65750.0, "trend": 0.121767, "fair_value": 0.248179, "relative_strength": -38.751937, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -53.895793, "energy": 35.545097, "activity_lines": [ 0.104467, 0.106309, 0.108786, 0.11303 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 0.105, "volume": 10500, "typical_volume": 65425.0, "trend": 0.1197, "fair_value": 0.246204, "relative_strength": -38.53445, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -51.616959, "energy": 32.265894, "activity_lines": [ 0.104867, 0.105673, 0.1082, 0.111948 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }