{ "ticker": { "uuid": "0a774b72-f7ae-44e2-8934-f5629bd7ea28", "symbol": "GIQG-B", "name": "Guardian i3 Global Quality Growth Fund ETF Unhedged", "exchange": "TOR", "country": "CA", "assetType": "etf" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^GSPTSE", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2b", "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 90.162, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 90.021, "architecture_energy": 69.14, "architecture_maturity": 52.704, "architecture_confidence": 78.122, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 12.21, "rotation_up": 60.69, "upward_expansion": 84.93, "deceleration": 65.47, "rotation_down": 26.23, "downward_expansion": 11.59 }, "activity_lines": [ 40.420667, 40.100112, 39.50758, 38.667076 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.666667 }, "latest_close": 41.799999, "trend_reference": 37.739895, "distance_from_trend": 0.107581, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 31.693212, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.318894, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -0.227895, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.164345, "excess_performance": 0.043924, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.107581, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.024875, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.318894, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.032474, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.002279, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.034946, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.164345, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.383459, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 2600, "relative_activity": 0.928571, "balance": 1.383459, "dry_up": 1.714286, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.01974, "annualized_volatility": 0.166101, "from_high_reference": 0.0, "from_low_reference": 0.251497 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 37.739895, "fair_value_reference": 31.693212, "structural_low": 33.400002, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 31, "median_return": 0.016152, "positive_rate": 0.677419, "directional_follow_through": 0.677419, "median_excess_return": -0.005454, "regime_survival": 0.806452, "best_return": 0.081918, "worst_return": -0.082816, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 11, "median_return": 0.084557, "positive_rate": 0.727273, "directional_follow_through": 0.727273, "median_excess_return": 0.012299, "regime_survival": 0.636364, "best_return": 0.15421, "worst_return": -0.195057, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": 0.11897, "positive_rate": 0.833333, "directional_follow_through": 0.833333, "median_excess_return": 0.04171, "regime_survival": 0.666667, "best_return": 0.23286, "worst_return": -0.028157, "sufficient": true }, { 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2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 61.148258, "energy": 53.794701, "activity_lines": [ 39.25348, 39.096991, 38.097586, 37.556584 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-03", "close": 40.310001, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 2705.0, "trend": 37.190562, "fair_value": 31.088211, "relative_strength": -1.732539, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 79.420269, "energy": 74.150063, "activity_lines": [ 39.626412, 39.356866, 38.391124, 37.763881 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-10", "close": 40.439999, "volume": 2300, "typical_volume": 2565.0, "trend": 37.294562, "fair_value": 31.209861, "relative_strength": -1.402956, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 77.653471, "energy": 88.153034, "activity_lines": [ 39.978415, 39.601582, 38.675282, 37.973522 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 39.369999, "volume": 1500, "typical_volume": 2255.0, "trend": 37.392562, "fair_value": 31.326117, "relative_strength": -3.675123, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 63.309317, "energy": 76.32894, "activity_lines": [ 39.858495, 39.603502, 38.838202, 38.107421 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 39.27, "volume": 9800, "typical_volume": 2510.0, "trend": 37.481895, "fair_value": 31.439473, "relative_strength": -3.968941, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 62.082042, "energy": 58.364742, "activity_lines": [ 39.66, 39.57626, 38.975884, 38.228546 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 40.080002, "volume": 5300, "typical_volume": 2685.0, "trend": 37.600895, "fair_value": 31.560403, "relative_strength": -1.343936, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 69.328143, "energy": 55.744586, "activity_lines": [ 39.785334, 39.689677, 39.171756, 38.396166 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 41.799999, "volume": 2600, "typical_volume": 2800.0, "trend": 37.739895, "fair_value": 31.693212, "relative_strength": -0.227895, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 90.020526, "energy": 69.140154, "activity_lines": [ 40.420667, 40.100112, 39.50758, 38.667076 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }