{ "ticker": { "uuid": "0a8a8022-c99f-4af6-bad1-f85f882eff87", "symbol": "POWERMECH", "name": "Power Mech Projects Limited", "exchange": "NSI", "country": "IN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^NSEI", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2a", "phase_label": "Stage 2A \u00b7 Early advance", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "deceleration", "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration", "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 33.511, "architecture_energy": 20.581, "architecture_maturity": 63.221, "architecture_confidence": 92.69, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.", "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down." }, "scores": { "balance": 50.16, "rotation_up": 20.59, "upward_expansion": 53.65, "deceleration": 93.51, "rotation_down": 28.33, "downward_expansion": 19.65 }, "activity_lines": [ 2591.953304, 2629.703627, 2595.636664, 2488.956127 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.0 }, "latest_close": 2616.699951, "trend_reference": 2356.729993, "distance_from_trend": 0.11031, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 2538.345572, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.030868, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": 6.605954, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.243088, "excess_performance": 0.286797, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.11031, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.047679, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.030868, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.024516, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.06606, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.028353, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.243088, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.825378, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 319204, "relative_activity": 0.828881, "balance": 1.825378, "dry_up": 0.765405, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.063118, "annualized_volatility": 0.370109, "from_high_reference": -0.197005, "from_low_reference": 0.523374 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 2356.729993, "fair_value_reference": 2538.345572, "structural_low": 1717.699951, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 15, "median_return": 0.023494, "positive_rate": 0.533333, "directional_follow_through": 0.533333, "median_excess_return": -0.017789, "regime_survival": 0.533333, "best_return": 0.26948, "worst_return": -0.177564, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 7, "median_return": 0.046763, "positive_rate": 0.571429, "directional_follow_through": 0.571429, "median_excess_return": -0.016792, "regime_survival": 0.142857, "best_return": 0.467108, "worst_return": -0.235321, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": -0.010976, "positive_rate": 0.4, "directional_follow_through": 0.4, "median_excess_return": 0.024635, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.603942, "worst_return": -0.332468, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full 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2566.399902, "volume": 394926, "typical_volume": 420836.75, "trend": 2348.293331, "fair_value": 2534.353596, "relative_strength": 4.982057, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 35.607942, "energy": 22.545051, "activity_lines": [ 2585.45332, 2635.358181, 2581.227146, 2471.639571 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 2616.699951, "volume": 319204, "typical_volume": 385102.2, "trend": 2356.729993, "fair_value": 2538.345572, "relative_strength": 6.605954, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 33.510951, "energy": 20.580951, "activity_lines": [ 2591.953304, 2629.703627, 2595.636664, 2488.956127 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }