{ "ticker": { "uuid": "0a98443b-372b-4c41-9063-dbbc132e6708", "symbol": "SIDU", "name": "Sidus Space Inc", "exchange": "NASDAQ", "country": "US", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "QQQ", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4a", "phase_label": "Stage 4A \u00b7 Breakdown", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 95.503, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -62.753, "architecture_energy": 64.092, "architecture_maturity": 22.0, "architecture_confidence": 86.651, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 21.7, "rotation_up": 10.72, "upward_expansion": 13.49, "deceleration": 38.91, "rotation_down": 71.42, "downward_expansion": 89.16 }, "activity_lines": [ 1.979333, 2.258545, 2.94681, 3.007398 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.833333 }, "latest_close": 2.24, "trend_reference": 3.031333, "distance_from_trend": -0.261051, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 3.680663, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.391414, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -14.348554, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.07438, "excess_performance": -0.261834, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.261051, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.122113, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.391414, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.070703, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.143486, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.612933, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.07438, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.481919, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 37694289, "relative_activity": 0.398847, "balance": 0.481919, "dry_up": 0.329402, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 3 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.41137, "annualized_volatility": 1.268249, "from_high_reference": -0.670103, "from_low_reference": 2.568015 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 3.031333, "fair_value_reference": 3.680663, "structural_low": 1.66, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 25, "median_return": -0.026163, "positive_rate": 0.36, "directional_follow_through": 0.64, "median_excess_return": -0.068883, "regime_survival": 0.8, "best_return": 2.970297, "worst_return": -0.664877, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 9, "median_return": -0.043011, "positive_rate": 0.444444, "directional_follow_through": 0.555556, "median_excess_return": -0.138068, "regime_survival": 0.666667, "best_return": 0.910891, "worst_return": -0.781048, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": -0.326667, "positive_rate": 0.4, "directional_follow_through": 0.6, "median_excess_return": -0.532814, "regime_survival": 0.6, "best_return": 1.247525, "worst_return": -0.818537, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", 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"date": "2026-07-24", "close": 1.85, "volume": 30372383, "typical_volume": 94193257.5, "trend": 3.176, "fair_value": 3.85624, "relative_strength": -24.594973, "stage": 4, "regime": "rotation_down", "modifier": "Supply rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -43.646185, "energy": 64.74565, "activity_lines": [ 2.074667, 2.647636, 3.192429, 3.153613 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 1.76, "volume": 25087245, "typical_volume": 94161725.45, "trend": 3.090333, "fair_value": 3.763804, "relative_strength": -28.836391, "stage": 4, "regime": "rotation_down", "modifier": "Structural failure", "gate": "down", "direction": -69.825456, "energy": 74.280364, "activity_lines": [ 1.918667, 2.378909, 3.046, 3.062258 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 2.24, "volume": 37694289, "typical_volume": 94508051.6, "trend": 3.031333, "fair_value": 3.680663, "relative_strength": -14.348554, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -62.753172, "energy": 64.091979, "activity_lines": [ 1.979333, 2.258545, 2.94681, 3.007398 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }