{ "ticker": { "uuid": "0a9deff8-b15e-4500-80f5-62e69263b031", "symbol": "000609", "name": "Beijing Zodi Investment Co., Ltd.", "exchange": "SHZ", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "399001.SZ", "stage": 3, "stage_name": "Distribution", "phase": "3b", "phase_label": "Stage 3B \u00b7 Distribution", "transition": "stage_3_churning", "transition_label": "Stage 3 range intact", "confidence": 50.779, "architecture_regime": "rotation_down", "architecture_regime_label": "Rotation Down", "architecture_modifier": "Supply rotation", "architecture_gate": "mixed", "architecture_direction": -22.934, "architecture_energy": 55.007, "architecture_maturity": 5.314, "architecture_confidence": 62.53, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The Activity Line structure is rotating downward.", "body": "Fast Activity is weakening relative to Slow Activity and price acceptance is deteriorating. Persistent negative Trend confirmation would establish Downward Expansion." }, "scores": { "balance": 32.73, "rotation_up": 16.88, "upward_expansion": 29.1, "deceleration": 46.97, "rotation_down": 64.87, "downward_expansion": 51.77 }, "activity_lines": [ 9.889333, 10.686727, 11.596714, 11.357204 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.333333 }, "latest_close": 10.35, "trend_reference": 10.797333, "distance_from_trend": -0.04143, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 5.466603, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.893315, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": 11.824819, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.396761, "excess_performance": 0.389361, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.04143, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.040439, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.893315, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -1.452222, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.118248, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.878862, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.396761, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.301547, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 37354601, "relative_activity": 0.915814, "balance": 0.301547, "dry_up": 0.982909, "accumulation_observations": 0, "distribution_observations": 4 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.146637, "annualized_volatility": 0.807199, "from_high_reference": -0.386121, "from_low_reference": 2.33871 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 10.797333, "fair_value_reference": 5.466603, "structural_low": 7.16, "invalidation": "A decisive breakout above range resistance with renewed RS leadership invalidates the distribution reading; a range-low break confirms deterioration." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 2, "median_return": 0.108574, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": 0.068966, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.327078, "worst_return": -0.109929, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 2, "median_return": -0.271022, "positive_rate": 0.0, "directional_follow_through": 1.0, "median_excess_return": -0.285384, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": -0.161348, "worst_return": -0.380697, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 2, "median_return": -0.154557, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.06931, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.210993, "worst_return": -0.520107, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", "sample_count": 1, "median_return": -0.12234, "positive_rate": 0.0, "directional_follow_through": 1.0, "median_excess_return": 0.066588, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": -0.12234, "worst_return": -0.12234, "sufficient": false } ], "ledger": [ { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2024-12-27", "end": "2025-01-17", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.135965, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2025-01-24", "end": "2025-03-21", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.05098, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2025-03-28", "end": "2025-05-23", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.279476, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2025-05-30", "end": "2025-07-11", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.091445, "active": false }, { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", 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"active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2026-04-03", "end": "2026-04-24", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.469059, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2026-05-01", "end": "2026-06-12", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.201803, "active": false }, { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2026-06-19", "end": "2026-07-31", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.228041, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_down", "label": "Rotation Down", "color": "orange", "start": "2026-08-07", "end": "2026-08-07", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.0, "active": true } ], "chart_path": [ { "date": "2023-07-28", "close": 5.9, "volume": 192056995, "typical_volume": 41848026.45, "trend": 5.244, "fair_value": 4.857436, "relative_strength": 10.18555, "stage": 1, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "mixed", 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12.047273, 12.193048, 11.595613 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 9.1, "volume": 53034529, "typical_volume": 44885952.2, "trend": 10.749667, "fair_value": 5.408718, "relative_strength": 4.68728, "stage": 3, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -33.210288, "energy": 30.423393, "activity_lines": [ 10.721333, 11.422, 11.94981, 11.486796 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 9.14, "volume": 32285760, "typical_volume": 42212360.4, "trend": 10.749, "fair_value": 5.434423, "relative_strength": 5.412782, "stage": 3, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Momentum cooling", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -34.431827, "energy": 52.019689, "activity_lines": [ 9.998667, 10.899455, 11.712619, 11.382946 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 10.35, "volume": 37354601, "typical_volume": 40788393.35, "trend": 10.797333, "fair_value": 5.466603, "relative_strength": 11.824819, "stage": 3, "regime": "rotation_down", "modifier": "Supply rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -22.933527, "energy": 55.007015, "activity_lines": [ 9.889333, 10.686727, 11.596714, 11.357204 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }