{ "ticker": { "uuid": "0aab7b48-7946-4f54-b726-aa4f62d83679", "symbol": "300320", "name": "Jiangyin Haida Rubber And Plastic Co., Ltd.", "exchange": "SHZ", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "399001.SZ", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -62.068, "architecture_energy": 70.983, "architecture_maturity": 34.923, "architecture_confidence": 89.127, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 15.35, "rotation_up": 11.31, "upward_expansion": 16.26, "deceleration": 37.54, "rotation_down": 69.58, "downward_expansion": 89.6 }, "activity_lines": [ 8.164, 8.474909, 8.787409, 9.154566 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.666667 }, "latest_close": 8.29, "trend_reference": 9.600925, "distance_from_trend": -0.136542, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 8.973738, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.076193, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -18.594564, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": -0.192795, "excess_performance": -0.200194, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.136542, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.03685, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.076193, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.187965, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.185946, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.025521, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.192795, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.675696, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 31866976, "relative_activity": 0.770155, "balance": 0.675696, "dry_up": 0.803116, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 4 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.089582, "annualized_volatility": 0.395046, "from_high_reference": -0.306276, "from_low_reference": 0.10093 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 9.600925, "fair_value_reference": 8.973738, "structural_low": 7.53, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 19, "median_return": 0.03598, "positive_rate": 0.526316, "directional_follow_through": 0.473684, "median_excess_return": 0.008193, "regime_survival": 0.736842, "best_return": 0.257009, "worst_return": -0.164916, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 7, "median_return": 0.052778, "positive_rate": 0.714286, "directional_follow_through": 0.285714, "median_excess_return": 0.057674, "regime_survival": 0.285714, "best_return": 0.559925, "worst_return": -0.189923, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": 0.019313, "positive_rate": 0.6, "directional_follow_through": 0.4, "median_excess_return": -0.007242, "regime_survival": 0.6, "best_return": 0.299723, "worst_return": -0.226452, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", 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"downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -75.080729, "energy": 45.101883, "activity_lines": [ 8.711333, 8.839418, 9.123234, 9.450057 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 7.96, "volume": 37576322, "typical_volume": 44396807.95, "trend": 9.674591, "fair_value": 8.96749, "relative_strength": -20.139608, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -71.573881, "energy": 68.508209, "activity_lines": [ 8.367333, 8.659089, 8.978625, 9.336513 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 8.2, "volume": 28914735, "typical_volume": 42272293.3, "trend": 9.635591, "fair_value": 8.969912, "relative_strength": -15.853809, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -62.70232, "energy": 72.314778, "activity_lines": [ 8.207333, 8.549823, 8.871874, 9.241379 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 8.29, "volume": 31866976, "typical_volume": 41377361.65, "trend": 9.600925, "fair_value": 8.973738, "relative_strength": -18.594564, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -62.068498, "energy": 70.983097, "activity_lines": [ 8.164, 8.474909, 8.787409, 9.154566 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }