{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "0aaec091-255c-4e28-8f35-530b104d6394",
    "symbol": "R1SG34",
    "name": "Republic Services, Inc.",
    "exchange": "SAO",
    "country": "BR",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^BVSP",
    "stage": 4,
    "stage_name": "Declining",
    "phase": "4c",
    "phase_label": "Stage 4C \u00b7 Repair watch",
    "transition": "stage_4_to_1_watch",
    "transition_label": "Stage 4 \u2192 1 repair watch",
    "confidence": 92.942,
    "architecture_regime": "rotation_up",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Rotation Up",
    "architecture_modifier": "Emerging rotation",
    "architecture_gate": "mixed",
    "architecture_direction": 4.942,
    "architecture_energy": 44.61,
    "architecture_maturity": 13.753,
    "architecture_confidence": 57.614,
    "architecture_tenure": "Developing",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The Activity Line structure is rotating upward.",
        "body": "Fast Activity is improving relative to Slow Activity and price acceptance is strengthening. This is earlier than full positive Trend confirmation and remains a developing repair."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 41.37,
        "rotation_up": 63.41,
        "upward_expansion": 52.3,
        "deceleration": 22.17,
        "rotation_down": 16.75,
        "downward_expansion": 27.3
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        550.953337,
        546.336866,
        535.232939,
        541.251964
      ],
      "activity_state": "Compressed",
      "activity_direction": "Expanding",
      "rotation_direction": "Improving",
      "price_acceptance": 0.5
    },
    "latest_close": 524.340027,
    "trend_reference": 550.149793,
    "distance_from_trend": -0.046914,
    "trend_direction": "Weakening",
    "fair_value": 541.837196,
    "distance_from_fair_value": -0.032292,
    "fair_value_direction": "Weakening",
    "relative_strength": -13.675569,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Improving",
    "price_momentum": -0.084299,
    "excess_performance": -0.02725,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.046914,
        "read": "Below"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.024122,
        "read": "Falling"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.032292,
        "read": "Below anchor"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.000512,
        "read": "Moving away"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.136756,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.172685,
        "read": "Improving"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.084299,
        "read": "Negative"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": false,
        "value": 0.800926,
        "read": "Supply-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 198,
      "relative_activity": 5.076923,
      "balance": 0.800926,
      "dry_up": 1.576923,
      "accumulation_observations": 1,
      "distribution_observations": 2
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.020926,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.27813,
      "from_high_reference": -0.228898,
      "from_low_reference": 0.05818
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 550.149793,
      "fair_value_reference": 541.837196,
      "structural_low": 495.511414,
      "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 7,
        "median_return": 0.012474,
        "positive_rate": 0.571429,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.571429,
        "median_excess_return": -0.034869,
        "regime_survival": 0.428571,
        "best_return": 0.064515,
        "worst_return": -0.124535,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 4,
        "median_return": 0.045571,
        "positive_rate": 0.75,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.75,
        "median_excess_return": -0.036958,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.154292,
        "worst_return": -0.092999,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 3,
        "median_return": 0.079423,
        "positive_rate": 0.666667,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.666667,
        "median_excess_return": -0.009729,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.256575,
        "worst_return": -0.080823,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 2,
        "median_return": 0.208355,
        "positive_rate": 1.0,
        "directional_follow_through": 1.0,
        "median_excess_return": 0.086464,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.404429,
        "worst_return": 0.012281,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
    "ledger": [
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2023-09-22",
        "end": "2023-11-17",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.074511,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
        "color": "teal",
        "start": "2023-11-24",
        "end": "2023-12-08",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.014864,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2023-12-15",
        "end": "2024-08-30",
        "tenure": "Extended",
        "return": 0.346913,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2024-09-06",
        "end": "2024-10-25",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.002124,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2024-11-01",
        "end": "2024-12-13",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.0,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2024-12-20",
        "end": "2024-12-27",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.164446,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2025-01-03",
        "end": "2025-06-20",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": 0.095651,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2025-06-27",
        "end": "2025-09-26",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": 0.025594,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2025-10-03",
        "end": "2025-10-03",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.0,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2025-10-10",
        "end": "2026-03-27",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": 0.00742,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
        "color": "teal",
        "start": "2026-04-03",
        "end": "2026-04-10",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.0,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2026-04-17",
        "end": "2026-04-17",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.0,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2026-04-24",
        "end": "2026-07-03",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.036022,
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      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
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        "return": -0.064964,
        "active": true
      }
    ],
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        "date": "2023-08-18",
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        "date": "2026-06-05",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
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        "trend": 553.897988,
        "fair_value": 536.567625,
        "relative_strength": -13.959034,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "modifier": "Structural repair",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": 3.807864,
        "energy": 29.366411,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 560.77002,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 26.8,
        "trend": 553.736827,
        "fair_value": 537.927005,
        "relative_strength": -11.089461,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "modifier": "Emerging rotation",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": 21.537809,
        "energy": 39.413437,
        "activity_lines": [
          547.439014,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 566.789978,
        "volume": 27,
        "typical_volume": 28.05,
        "trend": 553.05897,
        "fair_value": 539.324975,
        "relative_strength": -9.438867,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "modifier": "Value reclamation",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 54.394362,
        "energy": 76.609738,
        "activity_lines": [
          556.148336,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 564.97998,
        "volume": 21,
        "typical_volume": 29.1,
        "trend": 552.281714,
        "fair_value": 540.711342,
        "relative_strength": -10.804022,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "modifier": "Value reclamation",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 41.464369,
        "energy": 78.472437,
        "activity_lines": [
          561.593994,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 524.340027,
        "volume": 198,
        "typical_volume": 39.0,
        "trend": 550.149793,
        "fair_value": 541.837196,
        "relative_strength": -13.675569,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "modifier": "Emerging rotation",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 4.941747,
        "energy": 44.610489,
        "activity_lines": [
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}