{ "ticker": { "uuid": "0aaecfa3-9602-4d21-948f-11383eefa26a", "symbol": "300396", "name": "Dirui Industrial Co.,Ltd.", "exchange": "SHZ", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "399001.SZ", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -54.417, "architecture_energy": 58.937, "architecture_maturity": 100.0, "architecture_confidence": 70.835, "architecture_tenure": "Extended", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 15.79, "rotation_up": 27.96, "upward_expansion": 22.5, "deceleration": 66.26, "rotation_down": 49.02, "downward_expansion": 72.5 }, "activity_lines": [ 6.674667, 6.619455, 7.36719, 8.465978 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.5 }, "latest_close": 7.26, "trend_reference": 9.970667, "distance_from_trend": -0.271864, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 16.758286, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.566781, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -40.342323, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": -0.454135, "excess_performance": -0.461535, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.271864, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.181637, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.566781, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.020453, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.403423, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.08205, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.454135, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.433493, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 20949800, "relative_activity": 1.443612, "balance": 0.433493, "dry_up": 1.060068, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 4 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.086989, "annualized_volatility": 0.531089, "from_high_reference": -0.541087, "from_low_reference": 0.218121 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 9.970667, "fair_value_reference": 16.758286, "structural_low": 5.96, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 34, "median_return": 0.0004, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.021919, "regime_survival": 0.794118, "best_return": 0.230887, "worst_return": -0.312338, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 12, "median_return": -0.055708, "positive_rate": 0.416667, "directional_follow_through": 0.583333, "median_excess_return": -0.071365, "regime_survival": 0.583333, "best_return": 0.550827, "worst_return": -0.449206, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 7, "median_return": 0.015678, "positive_rate": 0.571429, "directional_follow_through": 0.428571, "median_excess_return": -0.128775, "regime_survival": 0.428571, "best_return": 0.531826, "worst_return": -0.481703, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full 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"fair_value": 17.151901, "relative_strength": -48.768059, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -72.190754, "energy": 68.604985, "activity_lines": [ 6.465333, 6.761818, 8.025571, 9.187957 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 5.99, "volume": 12994900, "typical_volume": 14118446.0, "trend": 10.365333, "fair_value": 17.010426, "relative_strength": -50.720795, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -76.439855, "energy": 69.265223, "activity_lines": [ 6.296, 6.565455, 7.712619, 8.890753 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 6.68, "volume": 11638400, "typical_volume": 14054763.1, "trend": 10.158667, "fair_value": 16.880648, "relative_strength": -43.232221, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -65.216741, "energy": 63.748169, "activity_lines": [ 6.401333, 6.529636, 7.49819, 8.652989 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 7.26, "volume": 20949800, "typical_volume": 14512070.1, "trend": 9.970667, "fair_value": 16.758286, "relative_strength": -40.342323, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -54.416784, "energy": 58.936961, "activity_lines": [ 6.674667, 6.619455, 7.36719, 8.465978 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }