{ "ticker": { "uuid": "0aafe576-04d7-4a85-83e7-28cbeead2f95", "symbol": "2007", "name": "Yieh Hsing Enterprise Co., Ltd.", "exchange": "TAI", "country": "TW", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-21", "benchmark": "^TWII", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 67.074, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -56.437, "architecture_energy": 39.583, "architecture_maturity": 26.019, "architecture_confidence": 91.082, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 20.79, "rotation_up": 19.08, "upward_expansion": 4.91, "deceleration": 48.03, "rotation_down": 56.95, "downward_expansion": 80.58 }, "activity_lines": [ 7.063333, 7.126545, 7.228381, 7.403075 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Stable", "rotation_direction": "Stable", "price_acceptance": -0.833333 }, "latest_close": 7.1, "trend_reference": 7.667333, "distance_from_trend": -0.073994, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 9.307179, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.237148, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -33.087025, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": -0.141475, "excess_performance": -0.487207, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.073994, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.012196, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.237148, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.033391, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.33087, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.073084, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.141475, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.250063, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 820316, "relative_activity": 0.494906, "balance": 1.250063, "dry_up": 0.670708, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.060997, "annualized_volatility": 0.276831, "from_high_reference": -0.264249, "from_low_reference": 0.034985 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 7.667333, "fair_value_reference": 9.307179, "structural_low": 6.86, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 33, "median_return": -0.012594, "positive_rate": 0.454545, "directional_follow_through": 0.545455, "median_excess_return": -0.012119, "regime_survival": 0.787879, "best_return": 0.179596, "worst_return": -0.244147, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 11, "median_return": -0.051887, "positive_rate": 0.363636, "directional_follow_through": 0.545455, "median_excess_return": -0.043057, "regime_survival": 0.454545, "best_return": 0.284946, "worst_return": -0.231405, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": -0.057818, "positive_rate": 0.333333, "directional_follow_through": 0.666667, "median_excess_return": -0.138549, "regime_survival": 0.166667, "best_return": 0.108491, "worst_return": -0.441038, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", "sample_count": 3, "median_return": -0.297321, "positive_rate": 0.333333, "directional_follow_through": 0.666667, "median_excess_return": -0.220531, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.099057, "worst_return": -0.431604, "sufficient": false } ], "ledger": [ { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2024-10-18", "end": "2024-11-29", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.106195, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2024-12-06", "end": "2025-02-21", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.099502, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_up", "label": "Rotation Up", "color": "teal", "start": "2025-02-28", "end": "2025-03-28", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.115044, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2025-04-04", "end": "2025-04-18", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.188377, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2025-04-25", "end": "2025-08-29", "tenure": "Established", "return": 0.018496, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2025-09-05", "end": "2025-10-31", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.100248, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2025-11-07", "end": "2026-01-02", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.080556, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2026-01-09", "end": "2026-01-16", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.014925, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_up", "label": "Rotation Up", "color": "teal", "start": "2026-01-23", "end": "2026-01-30", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.13728, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2026-02-06", "end": "2026-03-13", "tenure": 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"downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -55.839663, "energy": 33.402906, "activity_lines": [ 7.234, 7.296909, 7.394714, 7.580645 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 7.09, "volume": 1344842, "typical_volume": 2094645.9, "trend": 7.762333, "fair_value": 9.365449, "relative_strength": -32.425738, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -60.534777, "energy": 41.809576, "activity_lines": [ 7.183333, 7.254727, 7.348286, 7.536817 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 7.05, "volume": 1084182, "typical_volume": 1913180.7, "trend": 7.738, "fair_value": 9.346218, "relative_strength": -33.685955, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -59.970881, "energy": 44.914728, "activity_lines": [ 7.117333, 7.203091, 7.301762, 7.49086 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-14", "close": 6.98, "volume": 1197503, "typical_volume": 1675837.6, "trend": 7.702667, "fair_value": 9.324615, "relative_strength": -35.840492, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -62.95486, "energy": 47.44264, "activity_lines": [ 7.059333, 7.146909, 7.256095, 7.441957 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-21", "close": 7.1, "volume": 820316, "typical_volume": 1657517.95, "trend": 7.667333, "fair_value": 9.307179, "relative_strength": -33.087025, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -56.436535, "energy": 39.583351, "activity_lines": [ 7.063333, 7.126545, 7.228381, 7.403075 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }