{ "ticker": { "uuid": "0abc04eb-d07b-436b-acdb-c38c91076214", "symbol": "000572", "name": "Haima Automobile Co.,Ltd", "exchange": "SHZ", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "399001.SZ", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -64.864, "architecture_energy": 63.184, "architecture_maturity": 100.0, "architecture_confidence": 95.961, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 8.92, "rotation_up": 28.88, "upward_expansion": 12.0, "deceleration": 60.98, "rotation_down": 53.73, "downward_expansion": 85.33 }, "activity_lines": [ 3.656, 3.708, 4.163143, 4.654194 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.666667 }, "latest_close": 3.83, "trend_reference": 5.373, "distance_from_trend": -0.287177, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 4.75641, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.194771, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -39.125805, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.443314, "excess_performance": -0.450714, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.287177, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.24235, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.194771, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.38125, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.391258, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.160527, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.443314, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.526509, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 228280667, "relative_activity": 0.939653, "balance": 0.526509, "dry_up": 1.166475, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 3 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.11187, "annualized_volatility": 0.397321, "from_high_reference": -0.681629, "from_low_reference": 0.193146 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 5.373, "fair_value_reference": 4.75641, "structural_low": 3.21, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 26, "median_return": 0.016282, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.003107, "regime_survival": 0.769231, "best_return": 0.275862, "worst_return": -0.198598, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 10, "median_return": -0.009894, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": 0.037324, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": 0.427653, "worst_return": -0.41115, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": 0.171383, "positive_rate": 0.666667, "directional_follow_through": 0.166667, "median_excess_return": 0.059052, "regime_survival": 0.166667, "best_return": 0.496042, "worst_return": -0.190104, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", 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"regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -82.52541, "energy": 91.331932, "activity_lines": [ 3.788667, 4.084364, 4.675429, 5.215849 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 3.38, "volume": 319723578, "typical_volume": 251536961.9, "trend": 5.855333, "fair_value": 4.769872, "relative_strength": -45.012956, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -83.501846, "energy": 87.805696, "activity_lines": [ 3.622, 3.898364, 4.503571, 5.04372 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 3.4, "volume": 256353725, "typical_volume": 252368123.55, "trend": 5.685, "fair_value": 4.76391, "relative_strength": -44.509354, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -76.602263, "energy": 70.882929, "activity_lines": [ 3.514667, 3.757636, 4.350333, 4.885312 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 3.79, "volume": 329182813, "typical_volume": 260153709.2, "trend": 5.517333, "fair_value": 4.759359, "relative_strength": -36.89028, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -67.601859, "energy": 66.693263, "activity_lines": [ 3.581333, 3.719091, 4.24919, 4.763054 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 3.83, "volume": 228280667, "typical_volume": 242941409.95, "trend": 5.373, "fair_value": 4.75641, "relative_strength": -39.125805, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -64.86357, "energy": 63.183615, "activity_lines": [ 3.656, 3.708, 4.163143, 4.654194 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }