{ "ticker": { "uuid": "0abe9366-3cda-4de1-9058-1549ced93bbb", "symbol": "AAL", "name": "Alfabs Australia Limited", "exchange": "ASX", "country": "AU", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^AXJO", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -55.341, "architecture_energy": 35.862, "architecture_maturity": 84.367, "architecture_confidence": 86.734, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 28.69, "rotation_up": 24.51, "upward_expansion": 4.34, "deceleration": 59.69, "rotation_down": 46.84, "downward_expansion": 77.68 }, "activity_lines": [ 0.266333, 0.268091, 0.277881, 0.294194 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.666667 }, "latest_close": 0.265, "trend_reference": 0.328417, "distance_from_trend": -0.193098, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 0.353014, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.249322, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -33.743413, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.43617, "excess_performance": -0.499876, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.193098, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.140083, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.249322, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.102403, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.337434, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.10906, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.43617, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.621419, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 65415, "relative_activity": 0.297984, "balance": 0.621419, "dry_up": 1.386154, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.132075, "annualized_volatility": 0.822049, "from_high_reference": -0.550847, "from_low_reference": 0.152174 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 0.328417, "fair_value_reference": 0.353014, "structural_low": 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-37.437577, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -72.71995, "energy": 49.808451, "activity_lines": [ 0.262667, 0.267818, 0.2815, 0.302484 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 0.28, "volume": 414451, "typical_volume": 222735.45, "trend": 0.334417, "fair_value": 0.353814, "relative_strength": -28.24711, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -54.345411, "energy": 37.412852, "activity_lines": [ 0.267, 0.269136, 0.280274, 0.298672 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 0.265, "volume": 65415, "typical_volume": 219525.0, "trend": 0.328417, "fair_value": 0.353014, "relative_strength": -33.743413, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -55.340539, "energy": 35.862259, "activity_lines": [ 0.266333, 0.268091, 0.277881, 0.294194 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }