{ "ticker": { "uuid": "0ac3f0e9-8880-432d-87c3-1767742c14fa", "symbol": "138520", "name": "Mirae Asset TIGER Samsung Group ETF", "exchange": "KSC", "country": "KR", "assetType": "etf" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^KS11", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2b", "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "deceleration", "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration", "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 2.753, "architecture_energy": 19.895, "architecture_maturity": 65.802, "architecture_confidence": 73.216, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.", "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down." }, "scores": { "balance": 61.34, "rotation_up": 14.79, "upward_expansion": 41.79, "deceleration": 87.94, "rotation_down": 41.96, "downward_expansion": 33.46 }, "activity_lines": [ 34602.333333, 36998.727273, 37596.296075, 35324.705553 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.333333 }, "latest_close": 33870.0, "trend_reference": 31952.207227, "distance_from_trend": 0.060021, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 16084.25129, "distance_from_fair_value": 1.105787, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": 16.641943, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.502084, "excess_performance": 0.272255, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.060021, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.276719, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 1.105787, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.537258, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.166419, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.067402, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.502084, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.626217, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 417462, "relative_activity": 0.758271, "balance": 0.626217, "dry_up": 0.724241, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.146579, "annualized_volatility": 0.517786, "from_high_reference": -0.298903, "from_low_reference": 1.533794 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 31952.207227, "fair_value_reference": 16084.25129, "structural_low": 22548.677012, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 8, "median_return": -0.003844, "positive_rate": 0.375, "directional_follow_through": 0.375, "median_excess_return": 0.00145, "regime_survival": 0.375, "best_return": 0.04188, "worst_return": -0.05231, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": 0.020284, "positive_rate": 0.8, "directional_follow_through": 0.8, "median_excess_return": -0.007768, "regime_survival": 0.4, "best_return": 0.047923, "worst_return": -0.042187, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 3, "median_return": -0.022759, "positive_rate": 0.333333, "directional_follow_through": 0.333333, "median_excess_return": -0.031813, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.07901, "worst_return": -0.119583, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full 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"Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 29.51286, "energy": 28.964573, "activity_lines": [ 36623.0, 39234.0, 37770.20532, 34944.033896 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 34500.0, "volume": 678014, "typical_volume": 550902.85, "trend": 31491.316146, "fair_value": 15938.244253, "relative_strength": 13.293061, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 17.493631, "energy": 24.197746, "activity_lines": [ 35459.0, 38130.727273, 37737.244122, 35171.242078 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 33870.0, "volume": 417462, "typical_volume": 550544.55, "trend": 31952.207227, "fair_value": 16084.25129, "relative_strength": 16.641943, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 2.752712, "energy": 19.894843, "activity_lines": [ 34602.333333, 36998.727273, 37596.296075, 35324.705553 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }