{ "ticker": { "uuid": "0acb68e4-0007-4991-a4ed-33a83ca3a855", "symbol": "603879", "name": "Yongyue Science&Technology Co.,Ltd", "exchange": "SHH", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "000001.SS", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -34.503, "architecture_energy": 24.076, "architecture_maturity": 88.219, "architecture_confidence": 87.602, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 32.43, "rotation_up": 29.3, "upward_expansion": 17.61, "deceleration": 44.12, "rotation_down": 32.88, "downward_expansion": 65.28 }, "activity_lines": [ 4.805333, 4.683273, 4.904857, 5.148645 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.333333 }, "latest_close": 5.27, "trend_reference": 5.538667, "distance_from_trend": -0.048507, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 5.266667, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.000633, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -9.820693, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": -0.1568, "excess_performance": -0.113596, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.048507, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.080159, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.000633, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.112822, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.098207, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.014905, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.1568, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.947184, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 63254706, "relative_activity": 1.391228, "balance": 0.947184, "dry_up": 1.76826, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 4 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.100861, "annualized_volatility": 0.416528, "from_high_reference": -0.306579, "from_low_reference": 0.463889 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 5.538667, "fair_value_reference": 5.266667, "structural_low": 3.6, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 19, "median_return": 0.068182, "positive_rate": 0.684211, "directional_follow_through": 0.315789, "median_excess_return": 0.026987, "regime_survival": 0.736842, "best_return": 1.115385, "worst_return": -0.462639, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 7, "median_return": 0.055357, "positive_rate": 0.714286, "directional_follow_through": 0.285714, "median_excess_return": -0.003363, "regime_survival": 0.285714, "best_return": 0.5088, "worst_return": -0.16946, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": -0.038747, "positive_rate": 0.4, "directional_follow_through": 0.6, "median_excess_return": -0.008715, "regime_survival": 0.6, "best_return": 0.700461, "worst_return": -0.6528, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", 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"activity_lines": [ 4.542, 4.760364, 5.117048, 5.400043 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 4.25, "volume": 57260490, "typical_volume": 40513905.9, "trend": 5.69, "fair_value": 5.336795, "relative_strength": -26.022244, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -75.403272, "energy": 72.303621, "activity_lines": [ 4.429333, 4.619636, 5.007429, 5.303591 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 4.27, "volume": 85276178, "typical_volume": 41203051.4, "trend": 5.642667, "fair_value": 5.317821, "relative_strength": -25.839459, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -69.59666, "energy": 59.113629, "activity_lines": [ 4.363333, 4.514909, 4.910238, 5.211978 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 4.99, "volume": 115797294, "typical_volume": 44744254.8, "trend": 5.599, "fair_value": 5.290705, "relative_strength": -13.058728, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -59.667558, "energy": 45.485102, "activity_lines": [ 4.556667, 4.568545, 4.891476, 5.169871 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 5.27, "volume": 63254706, "typical_volume": 45466827.45, "trend": 5.538667, "fair_value": 5.266667, "relative_strength": -9.820693, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -34.502687, "energy": 24.075867, "activity_lines": [ 4.805333, 4.683273, 4.904857, 5.148645 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }